Monaco vs Olympique Marseille, French Ligue 1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Monaco - Olympique Marseille
Result
3:0
12/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 29
  • Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
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ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.611.04
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
81% (327/406)86% (503/584)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.611.04
xG on target (xGOT)
4.211.62
Total shots
158
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1920
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
186
Passes
81% (327/406)86% (503/584)
Long passes
40% (23/57)47% (16/34)
Passes in final third
62% (57/92)77% (114/149)
Crosses
27% (4/15)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.80
Fouls
618
Tackles
80% (12/15)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4238
Clearances Total
2518
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
1.624.21
Goals prevented
1.621.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Singo W. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Minamino T. ⚽, Zakaria D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 59', 2 - 0, Embolo B. ⚽, Vanderson (A),
  • 60', Hojbjerg P. ↓, Bennacer I. ↑,
  • 60', Merlin Q. ↓, Dedic A. ↑,
  • 61', Rowe J. ↓, Gouiri A. ↑,
  • 70', Minamino T. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
  • 70', Biereth M. ↓, Balogun F. ↑,
  • 76', Garcia U. ↓, Lirola P. ↑,
  • 78', Kehrer T. 🟨,
  • 82', 3 - 0, Zakaria D. (Pen),
  • 85', Greenwood M. ↓, Harit A. ↑,
  • 85', Camara L. ↓, Magassa S. ↑,
  • 85', Embolo B. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
  • 87', Harit A. 🟨,
  • 88', Kehrer T. ↓, Salisu M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Monaco
49.2%		Draw
24%		Olympique Marseille
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 24.4% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 24.2% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
    •

    Monaco - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.94 ↓
    (2.02)    		 3.96 ↑
    (3.91)    		 3.54 ↑
    (3.34)    		 5.1%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS
    •
    What is the prediction for Monaco - Olympique Marseille?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Marseille will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 57.5% – 89.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Monaco won 1.
    • Monaco is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Marseille is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Monaco will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Monaco: Mawissa Elebi C. (Yellow Cards) Ouattara K. (Calf Injury) Teze J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R. (Ankle Injury) Mbemba Ch. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Balerdi L. (Knee Injury) Bennacer I. (Illness) Luiz Felipe (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Monaco won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 44:32 (average 2.2:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Monaco won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27:18 (average 2.7:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Olympique Marseille - Monaco 2:1
    27.01.2024 Olympique Marseille - Monaco 2:2
    30.09.2023 Monaco - Olympique Marseille 3:2
    28.01.2023 Olympique Marseille - Monaco 1:1
    13.11.2022 Monaco - Olympique Marseille 2:3
    Latest results of Monaco
    05.04.2025 Brest - Monaco 2:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Monaco - Nice 2:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 Angers - Monaco 0:2 ✺
    07.03.2025 Toulouse - Monaco 1:1 ✺
    28.02.2025 Monaco - Reims 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    06.04.2025 Olympique Marseille - Toulouse 3:2 ✺
    29.03.2025 Reims - Olympique Marseille 3:1 ✺
    08.03.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lens 0:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Olympique Marseille - Nantes 2:0 ✺
    22.02.2025 Auxerre - Olympique Marseille 3:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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