Result
3:0
12/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 29
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Albania | K-Sport 1, SuperSport 6 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (327/406) | 86% (503/584) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.21 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (327/406) | 86% (503/584) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (23/57) | 47% (16/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (57/92) | 77% (114/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.80 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 38 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 4.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Singo W. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Minamino T. ⚽, Zakaria D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 59', 2 - 0, Embolo B. ⚽, Vanderson (A),
- 60', Hojbjerg P. ↓, Bennacer I. ↑,
- 60', Merlin Q. ↓, Dedic A. ↑,
- 61', Rowe J. ↓, Gouiri A. ↑,
- 70', Minamino T. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
- 70', Biereth M. ↓, Balogun F. ↑,
- 76', Garcia U. ↓, Lirola P. ↑,
- 78', Kehrer T. 🟨,
- 82', 3 - 0, Zakaria D. (Pen),
- 85', Greenwood M. ↓, Harit A. ↑,
- 85', Camara L. ↓, Magassa S. ↑,
- 85', Embolo B. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
- 87', Harit A. 🟨,
- 88', Kehrer T. ↓, Salisu M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monaco
49.2% | Draw
24% | Olympique Marseille
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Monaco - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.02) |
3.96 ↑
(3.91) |
3.54 ↑
(3.34) |
5.1%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS
What is the prediction for Monaco - Olympique Marseille?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Marseille will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 57.5% – 89.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Monaco (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Monaco won 1.
- Monaco is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Marseille is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Monaco will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Monaco: Mawissa Elebi C.
(Yellow Cards)
Ouattara K.
(Calf Injury)
Teze J.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Blanco R.
(Ankle Injury)
Mbemba Ch.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Marseille: Balerdi L.
(Knee Injury)
Bennacer I.
(Illness)
Luiz Felipe
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Monaco won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 44:32 (average 2.2:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Monaco won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27:18 (average 2.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Olympique Marseille?
Monaco has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Monaco?
Olympique Marseille has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
01.12.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Monaco
2:1
27.01.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Monaco
2:2
30.09.2023
Monaco
-
Olympique Marseille
3:2
28.01.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Monaco
1:1
13.11.2022
Monaco
-
Olympique Marseille
2:3
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Auxerre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
