Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 28
- Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | FOX One, FOX Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2, Sport TV3 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Tajikistan | Futbol TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (345/412) | 84% (371/441) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 2.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (345/412) | 84% (371/441) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (20/44) | 61% (25/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (86/111) | 77% (99/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.00 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Camara L. 🟨,
- 34', Medina F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 59', 1 - 0, Golovin A. ⚽, Teze J. (A),
- 65', Coulibaly M. ↓, Bamba A. ↑,
- 65', Mawissa C. ↓, Diatta K. ↑,
- 71', Kehrer T. 🟨,
- 73', Traore H. J. ↓, Nwaneri E. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 0, Balogun F. ⚽,
- 75', Golovin A. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
- 77', Egan-Riley C. ↓, Balerdi L. ↑,
- 84', Balogun F. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
- 84', Akliouche M. ↓, Adingra S. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Gouiri A. ⚽, Medina F. (A),
- 87', Balerdi L. 🟨,
- 89', Weah T. ↓, Emerson ↑,
- 89', Hojbjerg P. ↓, Abdelli H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monaco
44.6% | Draw
26% | Olympique Marseille
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Monaco - Olympique Marseille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.24) |
3.67 ↑
(3.6) |
3.27 ↑
(3) |
4.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Monaco - Olympique Marseille?
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 23 - 62.2%). Marseille will win (votes: 6 - 16.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 46.6% – 77.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Monaco (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Monaco (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monaco will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Monaco (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 2.
- Monaco has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Marseille's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Marseille has had a series of home games.
- Monaco might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Monaco: Caio Henrique
(Thigh Injury)
Minamino T.
(Knee Injury)
Ouattara K.
(Knee Injury)
Salisu M.
(Knee Injury)
Vanderson
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N.
(Groin Injury)
Greenwood M.
(Yellow Cards)
Kondogbia G.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Monaco: Cabral P.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 41:32. (average 2.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 2.7:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Olympique Marseille?
Monaco has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Monaco?
Olympique Marseille has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
14.12.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Monaco
1:0
12.04.2025
Monaco
-
Olympique Marseille
3:0
01.12.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Monaco
2:1
27.01.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Monaco
2:2
30.09.2023
Monaco
-
Olympique Marseille
3:2
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 61:23 | 38 | 63 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | Lille | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49:34 | 15 | 53 |
| 4 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:41 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Monaco | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 37:45 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Angers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 25:39 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Nice | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34:56 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Nantes | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Metz | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 26:63 | -37 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
