Result
3:2
19/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/445) | 80% (282/352) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/445) | 80% (282/352) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (28/55) | 49% (28/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (70/113) | 60% (57/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 2.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Pena A. ⚽, Magallan C. (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Basante F. ⚽,
- 45+3', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', Basante F. ↓, Herrera S. ↑,
- 55', Pena A. ↓, Montero A. ↑,
- 56', Montes G. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Caicedo L. ⚽,
- 69', Carrion E. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 69', Renteria M. ↓, Farias E. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 2, Rodriguez R. ⚽,
- 76', Ramirez Holguin W. S. ↓, Lobo J. ↑,
- 81', Rodriguez R. ↓, Rincones R. ↑,
- 83', Quejada K. 🟨,
- 87', 3 - 2, Quejada K. ⚽, Magallan C. (A),
- 89', Magallan C. ↓, Azocar J. ↑,
- 89', Ivey R. ↓, Gutierez J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Estudiantes de Mérida
52% | Draw
26.6% | Monagas
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Monagas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Estudiantes de Mérida - Monagas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.91) |
3.46 ↓
(3.7) |
4.32 ↑
(3.61) |
8.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Mérida - Monagas?
Users Predictions:
Estudiantes de Mérida will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes Mérida won 4.
- Estudiantes Mérida is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Monagas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Monagas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Estudiantes Mérida will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes Mérida won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes Mérida won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Estudiantes de Mérida won against Monagas?
Estudiantes de Mérida has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monagas won against Estudiantes de Mérida?
Monagas has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Mérida - Monagas were as follows:
19.07.2025
Monagas
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
1:0
06.02.2025
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Monagas
2:0
10.11.2024
Monagas
-
Estudiantes de Mérida
2:3
03.11.2024
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Monagas
2:0
22.08.2024
Estudiantes de Mérida
-
Monagas
2:1
Latest results of Estudiantes de Mérida
Latest results of Monagas
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Apertura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | La Guaira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Puerto Cabello | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes Merida | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Final: )
