Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 19
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Lagoa
43.2% | Draw
31.3% | Moncarapachense
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lagoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Lagoa - Moncarapachense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(2.02) |
2.88 ↓
(3.1) |
3.55 ↑
(3.49) |
10.7%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Lagoa might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lagoa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Lagoa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lagoa won against Moncarapachense?
Lagoa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moncarapachense won against Lagoa?
Moncarapachense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lagoa - Moncarapachense were as follows:
05.10.2025
Moncarapachense
-
Lagoa
1:1
09.02.2025
Lagoa
-
Moncarapachense
0:0
29.09.2024
Moncarapachense
-
Lagoa
2:0
Latest results of Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Malveira | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 34 |
| 2 | Juv. Evora | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | Louletano | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 20:9 | 11 | 32 |
| 4 | Serpa | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 30 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 34:25 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | Alverca B | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 28 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Oriental | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | 26 |
| 10 | O Elvas CAD | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 18 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 19 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 16:35 | -19 | 13 |
| 14 | Industria | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16:29 | -13 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
