Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 19
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Lagoa
43.2% | Draw
31.3% | Moncarapachense
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lagoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Lagoa - Moncarapachense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(2.02) |
2.88 ↓
(3.1) |
3.55 ↑
(3.49) |
10.7%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Lagoa might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lagoa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Lagoa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Lagoa won against Moncarapachense?
Lagoa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moncarapachense won against Lagoa?
Moncarapachense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lagoa - Moncarapachense were as follows:
05.10.2025
Moncarapachense
-
Lagoa
1:1
09.02.2025
Lagoa
-
Moncarapachense
0:0
29.09.2024
Moncarapachense
-
Lagoa
2:0
Latest results of Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Malveira | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 33:20 | 13 | 40 |
| 2 | Louletano | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 24:10 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Juv. Evora | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 27:21 | 6 | 36 |
| 4 | Alverca B | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37:30 | 7 | 35 |
| 5 | Serpa | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38:31 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | GD Alcochetense | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 27:19 | 8 | 31 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 31 |
| 9 | O Elvas CAD | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 29 |
| 10 | Oriental | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 27 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17:30 | -13 | 21 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama ✔ | 22 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 17:43 | -26 | 13 |
| 14 | Industria ✔ | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18:35 | -17 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vasco da Gama is Relegated to
Industria is Relegated to
