Lagoa vs Moncarapachense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 19

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
511
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
513
Total shots
511
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
18
Corner kicks
513

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, ,
  • 36', 2 - 0, ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Lagoa
43.2%
Draw
31.3%
Moncarapachense
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 29.2% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 29.5% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lagoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Lagoa - Moncarapachense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.02)
    2.88
    (3.1)
    3.55
    (3.49)
    10.7%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lagoa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lagoa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lagoa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lagoa - Moncarapachense were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Moncarapachense - Lagoa 1:1
    09.02.2025 Lagoa - Moncarapachense 0:0
    29.09.2024 Moncarapachense - Lagoa 2:0
    Latest results of Lagoa
    25.01.2026 Louletano - Lagoa 2:0
    17.01.2026 Lagoa - Serpa 5:0
    10.01.2026 Sintrense - Lagoa 1:2
    Latest results of Moncarapachense
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louletano26148436:152150
    2Malveira26138538:231547
    3Alverca B26145749:321747
    4Juv. Evora261210436:231346
    5GD Alcochetense26118733:221141
    6Sintrense26117830:25540
    7Lagoa26116944:341039
    8O Elvas CAD26971033:29434
    9Serpa26971028:34-634
    10Oriental26711829:35-632
    11Moncarapachense26710921:21031
    12Portimonense B26641619:42-2322
    13Industria26281620:45-2514
    14Vasco da Gama261111420:56-3614

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