Alondras vs Montañeros – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
22/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 1 - 0, ,
  • 17', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 84', 1 - 2, ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, ,
  • 90+8', 3 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Alondras
17.6%
Draw
38.5%
Montañeros
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 28.6% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47% 28.1% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alondras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alondras's form might have worsened.
  • Montañeros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montañeros's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alondras than the current prediction. (+29.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alondras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montañeros than the current prediction. (-19%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montañeros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alondras - Montañeros Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.65
    (1.97)
    3.49
    (3.18)
    3.06
    (3.58)
    -25.6%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 6)
    • Alondras is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Montañeros has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Montañeros may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Alondras might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alondras won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alondras - Montañeros were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Montañeros - Alondras 2:2
    Latest results of Alondras
    14.02.2026 Arosa - Alondras 2:2
    01.02.2026 Noia - Alondras 2:1
    25.01.2026 Alondras - RC Villalbes 1:0
    18.01.2026 Alondras - Barbadás 2:0
    Latest results of Montañeros
    15.02.2026 Montañeros - Lugo B 1:1
    08.02.2026 Gran Peña - Montañeros 1:1
    01.02.2026 Montañeros - Silva SD 4:1
    25.01.2026 Céltiga - Montañeros 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela22137237:191846
    2Arosa SC22127340:261443
    3Racing Club Villalbes22108426:141238
    4Somozas22107523:17637
    5Alondras2296732:29333
    6Celtiga2294935:30531
    7Boiro2286825:20530
    8Gran Pena2279628:25330
    9Montaneros2279627:25230
    10Lugo B2279626:27-130
    11Estradense2278727:22529
    12Atletico Arteixo2278730:28229
    13Barco2285921:23-229
    14Viveiro2276919:26-727
    15Cambados22311815:18-320
    16Silva SD22531415:32-1718
    17Noia22451318:37-1917
    18Barbadas-Bentraces22361312:38-2615

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