Montedio Yamagata vs Kagoshima United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo).

Emperors Cup - 1/32-finals

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Sakamoto K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, Yonezawa R. ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, Fujimoto Y. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Montedio Yamagata
42.2%

Draw
27.6%

Kagoshima United
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

25.8%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montedio Yamagata's form might have worsened.

Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montedio Yamagata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Montedio Yamagata - Kagoshima United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.9)	3.31 ↓ (3.5)	3.07 ↓ (3.4)	8.6% (10.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata - Kagoshima United?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Kagoshima United will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montedio Yamagata: 9.6% – 70.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Montedio Yamagata will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Recent form of Montedio Yamagata has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kagoshima United is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Kagoshima United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Montedio Yamagata is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:2. (average 1.8:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Montedio Yamagata won against Kagoshima United?

Montedio Yamagata has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kagoshima United won against Montedio Yamagata?

Kagoshima United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Montedio Yamagata - Kagoshima United were as follows:

26.03.2025 Kagoshima United - Montedio Yamagata 0:2

15.06.2024 Kagoshima United - Montedio Yamagata 2:1

07.04.2024 Montedio Yamagata - Kagoshima United 2:0

Latest results of Montedio Yamagata

31.05.2025 Fujieda MYFC - Montedio Yamagata 2:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu 0:4 ✺

18.05.2025 Renofa Yamaguchi - Montedio Yamagata 1:0 ✺

11.05.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki - Montedio Yamagata 1:1 ✺

06.05.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Oita Trinita 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Kagoshima United

07.06.2025 Kagoshima United - Gifu 3:2 ✺

31.05.2025 Osaka - Kagoshima United 3:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Imabari - Kagoshima United 0:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Kagoshima United - Fukushima United 5:0 ✺

06.05.2025 Ryūkyū - Kagoshima United 1:2 ✺

Draw

2025

1/64-finals

1	Vissel Kobe	Bye
2	Kamatamare	Kochi United	2 : 3
3	Kofu	Bye
4	Fukui Utd.	Honda FC	1 : 0
5	Albirex Niigata	Bye
6	Fukuyama City	FC Tokushima	2 : 1
7	Kashiwa Reysol	Bye
8	Sendai U.	Toyo University	2 : 4
9	Kawasaki Frontale	Bye
10	Fukushima Utd	Tokyo International University	9 : 1
11	Iwata	Bye
12	Mito	Sagamihara	0 : 1
13	Yokohama F. Marinos	Bye
14	Reinmeer Aomori	BTOP Hokkaido	5 : 0
15	Iwaki	Bye
16	Bye	Blaublitz
17	Gamba Osaka	Bye
18	Veertien Mie	Yamanashi Gakuin	1 : 0
19	Montedio Yamagata	Bye
20	Imabari	Kagoshima Utd	0 : 2
25	Kashima Antlers	Bye
26	Kusatsu	Hosei	1 : 0
27	V-Varen Nagasaki	Bye
28	Omiya Ardija	Tsukuba Univ.	0 : 1
29	Avispa Fukuoka	Bye
30	Okinawa SV	Verspah Oita	4 : 1
31	Okayama	Bye
32	Belugarosso Iwami	Giravanz Kitakyushu	0 : 1
33	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Bye
34	Brew Saga	Hirondelle Kumamoto	2 : 1
35	Fujieda MYFC	Bye
36	Baleine Shimonoseki	International Pacific Univesity	2 : 1
37	Shonan Bellmare	Bye
38	Gifu	Toyama Shinjo	3 : 1
39	Shimizu S-Pulse	Bye
40	Yamaga	Osaka	2 : 1
41	FC Tokyo	Bye
42	Kanazawa	Chukyo	6 : 0
43	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	Bye
44	Oita Trinita	Lvnirosso	2 : 0
45	Cerezo Osaka	Bye
46	Wakayama	Basara Hyogo	4 : 3
47	Tokushima	Bye
48	Bye	Renofa Yamaguchi
49	Machida	Bye
50	Kyoto Sangyo	Moriyama Samurai	3 : 1
51	Vegalta Sendai	Bye
52	Toyama	Juntendo Univ.	2 : 1
53	Kyoto	Bye
54	Nara Club	Niigata University	3 : 1
55	Yokohama FC	Bye
56	Grulla Morioka	North Asia University	6 : 0
57	Verdy	Bye
58	Tochigi SC	Oyama	5 : 0
59	Sagan Tosu	Bye
60	Ehime	Mitsubishi Nagasaki	1 : 0
61	Nagoya Grampus	Bye
62	Veroskronos Tsuno	Gainare Tottori	2 : 1
63	Chiba	Bye
64	Bye	Kumamoto

1/32-finals

1	Vissel Kobe	Kochi United	4 : 1
2	Kofu	Fukui Utd.	2 : 1
3	Albirex Niigata	Fukuyama City	1 : 0
4	Kashiwa Reysol	Toyo University	0 : 2
5	Kawasaki Frontale	Fukushima Utd	4 : 3
6	Iwata	Sagamihara	1 : 2
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	Reinmeer Aomori	0 : 2
8	Iwaki	Blaublitz	1 : 2
9	Gamba Osaka	Veertien Mie	2 : 1
10	Montedio Yamagata	Kagoshima Utd	2 : 1
13	Kashima Antlers	Kusatsu	4 : 0
14	V-Varen Nagasaki	Tsukuba Univ.	2 : 1
15	Avispa Fukuoka	Okinawa SV	2 : 0
16	Okayama	Giravanz Kitakyushu	0 : 2
17	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Brew Saga	3 : 1
18	Fujieda MYFC	Baleine Shimonoseki	2 : 0
19	Shonan Bellmare	Gifu	2 : 0
20	Shimizu S-Pulse	Yamaga	4 : 2
21	FC Tokyo	Kanazawa	3 : 1
22	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	Oita Trinita	2 : 3
23	Cerezo Osaka	Wakayama	5 : 0
24	Tokushima	Renofa Yamaguchi	2 : 1
25	Machida	Kyoto Sangyo	2 : 1
26	Vegalta Sendai	Toyama	0 : 1
27	Kyoto	Nara Club	1 : 0
28	Yokohama FC	Grulla Morioka	2 : 1
29	Verdy	Tochigi SC	3 : 1
30	Sagan Tosu	Ehime	1 : 0
31	Nagoya Grampus	Veroskronos Tsuno	3 : 0
32	Chiba	Kumamoto	1 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Vissel Kobe	Kofu	2 : 1
2	Albirex Niigata	Toyo University	1 : 2
3	Kawasaki Frontale	Sagamihara	0 : 1
4	Reinmeer Aomori	Blaublitz	1 : 2
5	Gamba Osaka	Montedio Yamagata	4 : 5
7	Kashima Antlers	V-Varen Nagasaki	2 : 1
8	Avispa Fukuoka	Giravanz Kitakyushu	1 : 0
9	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Fujieda MYFC	5 : 2
10	Shonan Bellmare	Shimizu S-Pulse	0 : 1
11	FC Tokyo	Oita Trinita	2 : 0
12	Cerezo Osaka	Tokushima	2 : 0
13	Machida	Toyama	2 : 1
14	Kyoto	Yokohama FC	4 : 3
15	Verdy	Sagan Tosu	1 : 0
16	Nagoya Grampus	Kumamoto	2 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Vissel Kobe	Toyo University
2	Sagamihara	Blaublitz
3	Montedio Yamagata	Urawa Reds
4	Kashima Antlers	Avispa Fukuoka
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Shimizu S-Pulse
6	FC Tokyo	Cerezo Osaka
7	Machida	Kyoto
8	Verdy	Nagoya Grampus