Result
1:2 penalties
03/05/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2/J3 League - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Asakawa H. ⚽, Ishiura T. (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Arita R. ⚽, Fukuda M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fujimura K. ↓, Yoshio K. ↑,
- 65', Shigema K. ↓, Sota K. ↑,
- 65', Suzuki J. ↓, Kamiya K. ↑,
- 66', Yonezawa R. ↓, Kawamura K. ↑,
- 75', Aoki Y. 🟨,
- 81', Fukuda M. ↓, Endo M. ↑,
- 81', Mishina N. ↓, Take S. ↑,
- 83', Ihara A. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
- 83', Asakawa H. ↓, Takagi D. ↑,
- 86', Arita R. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
- Penalties (2 - 4)
- 1, Takagi D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Take S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Sota K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Kawamura K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Jennings C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Yoshio K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Ishiura T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Aoki Y. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Ryūkyū
21.6% | Draw
26.8% | Kagoshima United
51.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Ryūkyū - Kagoshima United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.31 ↑
(4.2) |
3.46 ↑
(3.4) |
1.8 ↓
(1.82) |
7.6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 1.
- Ryūkyū is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Kagoshima United has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Kagoshima United is considered a favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ryūkyū won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ryūkyū won against Kagoshima United?
Ryūkyū has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kagoshima United won against Ryūkyū?
Kagoshima United has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ryūkyū - Kagoshima United were as follows:
15.02.2026
Kagoshima United
-
Ryūkyū
3:1
22.11.2025
Kagoshima United
-
Ryūkyū
1:1
06.05.2025
Ryūkyū
-
Kagoshima United
1:2
11.11.2023
Ryūkyū
-
Kagoshima United
2:0
14.05.2023
Kagoshima United
-
Ryūkyū
2:0
Latest results of Kagoshima United
Japan J2 J3 League Table
2026East A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 14 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 31:10 | 35 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Blaublitz | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19:13 | 28 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 5 | Montedio Yamagata | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Yokohama FC | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 28:26 | 18 |
| 7 | Kusatsu | 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 17:32 | 16 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 22:28 | 15 |
| 9 | Vanraure | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Tochigi City | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16:31 | 15 |
East B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kofu | 14 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:9 | 29 |
| 2 | Iwaki | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Omiya Ardija | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 30:21 | 24 |
| 4 | Gifu | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 14 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 19:20 | 23 |
| 6 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Yamaga | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 25:19 | 19 |
| 8 | Iwata | 14 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20:34 | 11 |
| 10 | Nagano | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12:30 | 11 |
West A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Toyama | 14 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 34:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Tokushima | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 32:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Kochi United | 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 27 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Ehime | 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18:29 | 15 |
| 8 | Osaka | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Imabari | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Kamatamare | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9:26 | 13 |
West B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 14 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29:9 | 37 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20:12 | 27 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:19 | 23 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Oita Trinita | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17:16 | 18 |
| 7 | Gainare Tottori | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14:25 | 14 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | 13 |
| 10 | Ryukyu | 14 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 12 |
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )
