Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
29/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2/J3 League - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanAbemaTV, DAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
83
Corner kicks
64
Yellow cards
01
Total shots
196
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
113
Corner kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Suzuki M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 43', Pedro Augusto 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kokubu S. , Takahashi J. ,
  • 46', Tanaka W. , Nakamura R. ,
  • 61', Disaro A. S. , Horikane S. ,
  • 66', Pedro Augusto , Mori T. ,
  • 67', Kato M. , Okaniwa Y. ,
  • 69', 0 - 2, Mori T. , Koike Y. (A),
  • 74', Nodake H. , Enomoto K. ,
  • 80', Suzuki M. , Yamashita K. ,
  • 83', Kotake S. , Shimoda Y. ,
  • 84', Tanaka P. , Karlsson D.M. ,
  • 86', Terayama T. , Yanagimachi K. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Kumamoto Y. , Horikane S. (A),

Chances of winning


Montedio Yamagata
35.6%
Draw
26.4%
Tochigi City
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 27.4% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 26.3% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tochigi City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montedio Yamagata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tochigi City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Montedio Yamagata - Tochigi City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.34)
    3.49
    (3.39)
    2.43
    (2.82)
    8.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata - Tochigi City?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tochigi City will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Tochigi City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Montedio Yamagata
    Latest results of Tochigi City
    Japan J2 J3 League Table
    2026

    East A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vegalta Sendai10640021:626
    2Shonan Bellmare10711120:824
    3Blaublitz10701213:822
    4Montedio Yamagata10410512:1114
    5Tochigi SC10401518:1913
    6Sagamihara10311518:2012
    7Vanraure10303411:1312
    8Yokohama FC10310617:1711
    9Tochigi City10211612:239
    10Kusatsu10112610:277


    East B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Iwaki10621118:1023
    2Kofu10610314:720
    3Omiya Ardija10601324:1519
    4Yamaga10511323:1318
    5Gifu10511317:1318
    6Fujieda MYFC10422216:1518
    7Iwata1013159:1310
    8Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo10220610:1510
    9Fukushima Utd10202615:288
    10Nagano1010369:266


    West A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Tokushima10800227:524
    2Toyama10530225:1521
    3Kochi United10611219:1321
    4Albirex Niigata10331314:1216
    5Kanazawa10232311:1614
    6Ehime10312412:1413
    7Kamatamare1040067:1812
    8Osaka1021347:1111
    9Imabari1021256:1110
    10Nara Club10202613:268


    West B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Tegevajaro Miyazaki10900123:727
    2Kagoshima Utd10621115:723
    3Sagan Tosu10411411:1015
    4Renofa Yamaguchi10411412:1215
    5Oita Trinita10410513:1214
    6Kumamoto10401511:1413
    7Reilac Shiga940147:1013
    8Gainare Tottori922148:1211
    9Ryukyu10122510:169
    10Giravanz Kitakyushu1020178:187

          Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )