Result
1:2
02/05/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2/J3 League - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 1 - 0, Kase N. ⚽, Ota S. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, Mori T. ⚽, Masukake Y. (A),
- 45', 1 - 2, Nishiya K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ota S. ↓, Ishibashi S. ↑,
- 58', Tanaka P. ↓, Koike Y. ↑,
- 64', Pedro Augusto 🟨,
- 64', Fujii T. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
- 70', Okui R. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
- 70', Yamashita K. ↓, Hiraoka M. ↑,
- 72', Takeda S. ↓, Arthur Feitoza ↑,
- 76', Hiraoka M. 🟨,
- 82', Shimoguchi W. ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
- 82', Watanabe K. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
- 83', Karlsson D.M. ↓, Suzuki M. ↑,
- 84', Mori T. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shonan Bellmare 47.6% | Draw 26.2% | Tochigi City 26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shonan Bellmare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Shonan Bellmare - Tochigi City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.93 ↑ (1.8) |
3.51 ↓ (3.65) |
3.52 ↓ (4) |
8.7% (8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Tochigi City?
Users Predictions:
Shonan Bellmare will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
- Shonan Bellmare is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tochigi City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Shonan Bellmare is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Shonan Bellmare will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shonan Bellmare won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Tochigi City?
Shonan Bellmare has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tochigi City won against Shonan Bellmare?
Tochigi City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Tochigi City were as follows:
28.02.2026
Tochigi City
-
Shonan Bellmare
1:3
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Latest results of Tochigi City
Japan J2 J3 League Table
2026East A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 14 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 31:10 | 35 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Blaublitz | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19:13 | 28 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 5 | Montedio Yamagata | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Yokohama FC | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 28:26 | 18 |
| 7 | Kusatsu | 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 17:32 | 16 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 22:28 | 15 |
| 9 | Vanraure | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Tochigi City | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16:31 | 15 |
East B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kofu | 14 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:9 | 29 |
| 2 | Iwaki | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Omiya Ardija | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 30:21 | 24 |
| 4 | Gifu | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 14 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 19:20 | 23 |
| 6 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Yamaga | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 25:19 | 19 |
| 8 | Iwata | 14 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20:34 | 11 |
| 10 | Nagano | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12:30 | 11 |
West A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Toyama | 14 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 34:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Tokushima | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 32:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Kochi United | 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 27 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Ehime | 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18:29 | 15 |
| 8 | Osaka | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Imabari | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Kamatamare | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9:26 | 13 |
West B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 14 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29:9 | 37 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20:12 | 27 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:19 | 23 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Oita Trinita | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17:16 | 18 |
| 7 | Gainare Tottori | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14:25 | 14 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | 13 |
| 10 | Ryukyu | 14 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 12 |
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )