Montedio Yamagata vs Tochigi City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
29/03/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2/J3 League - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanAbemaTV, DAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
83
Corner kicks
64
Yellow cards
01
Total shots
196
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
113
Corner kicks
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Suzuki M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 43', Pedro Augusto 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kokubu S. , Takahashi J. ,
  • 46', Tanaka W. , Nakamura R. ,
  • 61', Disaro A. S. , Horikane S. ,
  • 66', Pedro Augusto , Mori T. ,
  • 67', Kato M. , Okaniwa Y. ,
  • 69', 0 - 2, Mori T. , Koike Y. (A),
  • 74', Nodake H. , Enomoto K. ,
  • 80', Suzuki M. , Yamashita K. ,
  • 83', Kotake S. , Shimoda Y. ,
  • 84', Tanaka P. , Karlsson D.M. ,
  • 86', Terayama T. , Yanagimachi K. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Kumamoto Y. , Horikane S. (A),

Chances of winning


Montedio Yamagata
35.6%
Draw
26.4%
Tochigi City
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 27.4% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 26.3% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tochigi City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montedio Yamagata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tochigi City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Montedio Yamagata - Tochigi City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.34)
    3.49
    (3.39)
    2.43
    (2.82)
    8.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata - Tochigi City?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tochigi City will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Tochigi City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Montedio Yamagata
    Latest results of Tochigi City
    Japan J2 J3 League Table
    2026

    East A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vegalta Sendai14940131:1035
    2Shonan Bellmare14731326:1428
    3Blaublitz14901419:1328
    4Sagamihara14522526:2521
    5Montedio Yamagata14520716:1619
    6Yokohama FC14511728:2618
    7Kusatsu14412717:3216
    8Tochigi SC14403722:2815
    9Vanraure14403713:1915
    10Tochigi City14411816:3115


    East B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kofu14910418:929
    2Iwaki14731322:1428
    3Omiya Ardija14711530:2124
    4Gifu14711520:1824
    5Fujieda MYFC14524319:2023
    6Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo14620619:1822
    7Yamaga14512625:1919
    8Iwata14342515:1719
    9Fukushima Utd14302920:3411
    10Nagano14213812:3011


    West A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Toyama14930234:1633
    2Tokushima14901432:1728
    3Kochi United14722322:1927
    4Albirex Niigata14631418:1525
    5Ehime14612522:1622
    6Kanazawa14432514:1920
    7Nara Club14322718:2915
    8Osaka14224610:1614
    9Imabari14312810:1613
    10Kamatamare1440199:2613


    West B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Tegevajaro Miyazaki141201129:937
    2Kagoshima Utd14641320:1227
    3Sagan Tosu14622418:1324
    4Renofa Yamaguchi14621520:1923
    5Kumamoto14701616:1622
    6Oita Trinita14511717:1618
    7Gainare Tottori13421615:1717
    8Giravanz Kitakyushu14402814:2514
    9Reilac Shiga1340188:2013
    10Ryukyu14133712:2212

          Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )