Result
0:1
15/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 62', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tivoli Gardens
30.1% | Draw
28.1% | Montego Bay United
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tivoli Gardens's performance.Montego Bay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montego Bay United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tivoli Gardens that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montego Bay United than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montego Bay United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tivoli Gardens - Montego Bay United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↓
(4.12) |
3.24 ↓
(3.42) |
2.17 ↑
(1.85) |
10%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tivoli Gardens - Montego Bay United?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tivoli Gardens will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Montego Bay United will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Montego Bay United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Montego Bay United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tivoli Gardens won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tivoli Gardens won against Montego Bay United?
Tivoli Gardens has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montego Bay United won against Tivoli Gardens?
Montego Bay United has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tivoli Gardens - Montego Bay United were as follows:
14.09.2025
Montego Bay United
-
Tivoli Gardens
3:1
12.05.2025
Montego Bay United
-
Tivoli Gardens
1:1
09.05.2025
Tivoli Gardens
-
Montego Bay United
1:2
04.05.2025
Tivoli Gardens
-
Montego Bay United
2:1
17.02.2025
Montego Bay United
-
Tivoli Gardens
3:1
Latest results of Tivoli Gardens
Latest results of Montego Bay United
Jamaica National Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montego Bay | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 66:34 | 32 | 65 |
| 2 | Mount Pleasant | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 52:18 | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | Racing United | 33 | 13 | 16 | 4 | 46:25 | 21 | 55 |
| 4 | Portmore | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 46:32 | 14 | 55 |
| 5 | Waterhouse | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 40:28 | 12 | 53 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 33 | 15 | 3 | 15 | 47:38 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | Dunbeholden | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 36:41 | -5 | 44 |
| 8 | Arnett Gardens | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 50:39 | 11 | 43 |
| 9 | Chapelton | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 43 |
| 10 | Tivoli | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 32:41 | -9 | 41 |
| 11 | Harbour View | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 46:62 | -16 | 32 |
| 12 | Treasure Beach | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32:49 | -17 | 30 |
| 13 | Molynes | 33 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 27 |
| 14 | Spanish Town Police | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 23:82 | -59 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
