Result
1:1
12/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 North-central-america | SportsMax 2 Caribbean |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Jones S. 🟨,
- 45+6', Hospedales D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', Weatherly J. ↓, Reid D. ↑,
- 52', Russell L. 🟨,
- 67', Clarke S. ↓, Oldfield R. ↑,
- 67', Nelson A. ↓, McKain T. ↑,
- 68', Garnett T. 🟨,
- 71', Pryce B. 🟨,
- 73', Fletcher J. (Pen),
- 74', Clarke N. 🟥,
- 76', Garnett T. ↓, Francis N. ↑,
- 78', Jones S. ↓, Wellington R. ↑,
- 82', Russell L. 🟨,
- 84', Lucas Lima ↓, Rankine L. ↑,
- 84', Claudio J. ↓, Vassell P. ↑,
- 84', Fletcher J. ↓, Brown B. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 0, Brown B. ⚽,
- 90+2', Fuller N. ↓, Cockings M. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Cockings M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Montego Bay United
50.2% | Draw
26.9% | Tivoli Gardens
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montego Bay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Tivoli Gardens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montego Bay United than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Montego Bay United - Tivoli Gardens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(1.94) |
3.39 ↑
(3.04) |
4 ↑
(3.92) |
9.4%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montego Bay United won 4.
- Montego Bay United has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tivoli Gardens is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Montego Bay United has had a series of away games.
- Montego Bay United could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Montego Bay United won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montego Bay United won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Montego Bay United won against Tivoli Gardens?
Montego Bay United has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tivoli Gardens won against Montego Bay United?
Tivoli Gardens has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montego Bay United - Tivoli Gardens were as follows:
09.05.2025
Tivoli Gardens
-
Montego Bay United
1:2
04.05.2025
Tivoli Gardens
-
Montego Bay United
2:1
17.02.2025
Montego Bay United
-
Tivoli Gardens
3:1
08.12.2024
Tivoli Gardens
-
Montego Bay United
2:4
07.04.2024
Montego Bay United
-
Tivoli Gardens
2:1
Latest results of Montego Bay United
Latest results of Tivoli Gardens
Jamaica National Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Waterhouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Treasure Beach | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Chapelton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Montego Bay | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Mount Pleasant | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Harbour View | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Cavalier | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Portmore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Arnett Gardens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Dunbeholden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Racing United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Tivoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Molynes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Spanish Town Police | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
