Monterey Bay vs Oakland Roots – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
25/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Cup
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.780.43
Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
206
Shots on target
51
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
52
Passes
81% (313/388)84% (401/479)
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.780.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.390.63
Total shots
206
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
82
Blocked shots
73
Shots inside the box
114
Shots outside the box
92
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
3615
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
42
Free kicks
1319
Passes
81% (313/388)84% (401/479)
Long passes
46% (22/48)43% (26/60)
Passes in final third
58% (67/115)71% (58/82)
Crosses
35% (9/26)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.720.69
Throw ins
2223
Fouls
1913
Tackles
82% (9/11)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4838
Clearances
1221
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
04
xGOT faced
0.631.39
Goals prevented
-0.370.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', Nakamura R. 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Kiil J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Nadje C. , Leggett W. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Paul I. , Glasgow O. (A),
  • 78', Jacquesson B. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Jacquesson B. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Paul I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, de Vicente J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Leggett W. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Wilson P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Glasgow O. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Prentice W. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Belmar J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Tingey K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Blancas E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, McCabe T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Gordon N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Elmasnaouy A. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Monterey Bay
32.8%
Draw
27.9%
Oakland Roots
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 28.9% 39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 28.5% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.88)
    3.26
    (3.15)
    2.31
    (2.3)
    10.2%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 2.
    • Recent form of Monterey Bay has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Oakland Roots's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Oakland Roots may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Monterey Bay has had a series of away games.
    • Oakland Roots is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots were as follows:
    07.03.2026 Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots 0:1
    30.08.2025 Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay 1:0
    15.03.2025 Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots 3:2
    22.06.2024 Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots 2:1
    06.04.2024 Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay 0:1
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    Latest results of Oakland Roots