Indy Eleven vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Result
3:1
11/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Encarnación J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.520.68
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
82
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
44
Passes
61% (151/249)79% (344/435)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
1.520.68
xG on target (xGOT)
2.190.39
Total shots
129
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
34
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
103
Shots outside the box
26
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2412
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1620
Passes
61% (151/249)79% (344/435)
Long passes
39% (29/75)46% (42/91)
Passes in final third
50% (53/106)68% (87/128)
Crosses
44% (7/16)5% (1/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.53
Throw ins
2517
Fouls
2016
Tackles
100% (11/11)85% (11/13)
Duels won
5849
Clearances
2535
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
0.392.19
Goals prevented
-0.61-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Rendon B. ⚽, Lindley C. (A),
  • 25', Garcia J. 🟨,
  • 32', Okello N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Lomtadze G. ↓, Leggett W. ↑,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Lletget S. ⚽, Glasgow O. (A),
  • 56', 2 - 1, Blake J. ⚽,
  • 60', Nakamura R. ↓, Belmar J. ↑,
  • 60', Lletget S. ↓, Blancas E. ↑,
  • 68', 3 - 1, Mesanvi L. ⚽, Herbert A. (A),
  • 69', Rendon B. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
  • 73', Glasgow O. ↓, Rebollar A. ↑,
  • 75', Quinn A. ↓, Williams K. ↑,
  • 75', Okello N. ↓, Kizza E. ↑,
  • 75', Farnsworth Z. 🟨,
  • 82', Blancas E. 🟨,
  • 83', Barry H. 🟨,
  • 87', Williams K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Indy Eleven
49.1%		Draw
28.2%		Monterey Bay
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 31.5% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 30% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Indy Eleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
    •

    Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.89 ↓
    (1.99)    		 3.28 ↑
    (2.93)    		 4.08 ↓
    (4.16)    		 8%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Indy (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Indy (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • Indy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Indy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Indy has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Indy is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Indy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay 3:0
    04.05.2024 Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven 0:1
    22.04.2023 Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay 2:3
    17.09.2022 Monterey Bay - Indy Eleven 5:0
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    04.04.2026 Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1:1
    31.03.2026 Indy Eleven - Union Omaha 1:2
    28.03.2026 Hartford Athletic - Indy Eleven 2:2 ✺
    21.03.2026 Indy Eleven - Detroit City 2:1 ✺
    17.03.2026 Indy Eleven - Des Moines Menace 3:0
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    04.04.2026 Monterey Bay - San Antonio 0:0
    28.03.2026 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 1:0 ✺
    21.03.2026 Sacramento Republic - Monterey Bay 1:1
    14.03.2026 Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive 0:3
    07.03.2026 Monterey Bay - Oakland Roots 0:1
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay752012:4817
    2Louisville City851216:11516
    3Detroit74129:5413
    4Charleston841312:12013
    5Miami FC833210:12-212
    6Pittsburgh831410:13-310
    7Hartford Athletic72417:7010
    8Indy Eleven723210:919
    9Birmingham723210:919
    10Rhode Island722312:1118
    11Brooklyn82158:13-57
    12Loudoun705210:13-35
    13Sporting Jax80175:18-131


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio944111:8316
    2Orange County SC94329:6315
    3El Paso741217:12513
    4Sacramento Republic834111:7413
    5Oakland Roots834114:11313
    6Phoenix Rising833212:8412
    7Colorado Springs723215:1329
    8FC Tulsa72329:819
    9Las Vegas Lights822413:16-38
    10New Mexico52035:8-36
    11Lexington81347:10-36
    12Monterey Bay70253:13-102

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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