Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Griggs J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, NESN
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.67
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
85% (474/556)80% (290/361)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.030.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.641.02
Total shots
126
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
338
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
85% (474/556)80% (290/361)
Long passes
62% (28/45)38% (20/52)
Passes in final third
73% (146/200)48% (25/52)
Crosses
20% (5/25)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.080.90
Throw-ins
2020
Fouls
1514
Tackles
83% (10/12)89% (17/19)
Duels won
4541
Clearances
1441
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.020.64
Goals prevented
0.00-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Malango M. , Fehr M. (A),
  • 25', Ivanovic L. 🟨,
  • 35', Bryant E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Stoneman G. , Mabika A. ,
  • 59', Fuson N. , Brito J. ,
  • 59', Shapiro-Thompson A. , Holstad C. ,
  • 60', Bryant E. , Dixon A. ,
  • 60', Paul I. , Archimede L. ,
  • 73', Malango M. , Ivanovic L. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Brito J. ,
  • 78', Hope-Gund R. , Okiyoshi T. ,
  • 80', Fehr M. , Gallaway P. ,
  • 82', Sanchez A. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Rhode Island
64.9%
Draw
20.8%
Monterey Bay
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 25.7% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 25.2% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rhode Island's performance.
  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monterey Bay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rhode Island that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monterey Bay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rhode Island - Monterey Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.75)
    4.47
    (3.6)
    6.48
    (4.32)
    7.7%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Rhode Island - Monterey Bay?
  • Users Predictions: Rhode Island will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rhode Island will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Rhode Island may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Rhode Island is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rhode Island won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rhode Island - Monterey Bay were as follows:
    24.03.2024 Monterey Bay - Rhode Island 2:2
    Latest results of Rhode Island
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    USL Championship Table
    2026

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tampa Bay541010:3713
    2Louisville City641114:9513
    3Detroit53116:2410
    4Charleston53027:709
    5Miami FC62317:709
    6Hartford Athletic62317:709
    7Indy Eleven52218:628
    8Pittsburgh62138:11-37
    9Brooklyn62045:9-46
    10Rhode Island51227:8-15
    11Birmingham51225:6-15
    12Loudoun50328:11-33
    13Sporting Jax60155:13-81


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orange County SC74217:3414
    2El Paso541014:5913
    3San Antonio73315:3212
    4Sacramento Republic62317:439
    5Oakland Roots52217:618
    6New Mexico52035:8-36
    7Phoenix Rising61328:806
    8Colorado Springs51228:9-15
    9Las Vegas Lights61239:11-25
    10Lexington61236:8-25
    11FC Tulsa51224:6-25
    12Monterey Bay60242:9-72

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)