Result
1:1
10/05/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Griggs J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, NESN |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (474/556) | 80% (290/361) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (474/556) | 80% (290/361) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (28/45) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (146/200) | 48% (25/52) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 89% (17/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Malango M. ⚽, Fehr M. (A),
- 25', Ivanovic L. 🟨,
- 35', Bryant E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Stoneman G. ↓, Mabika A. ↑,
- 59', Fuson N. ↓, Brito J. ↑,
- 59', Shapiro-Thompson A. ↓, Holstad C. ↑,
- 60', Bryant E. ↓, Dixon A. ↑,
- 60', Paul I. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
- 73', Malango M. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Brito J. ⚽,
- 78', Hope-Gund R. ↓, Okiyoshi T. ↑,
- 80', Fehr M. ↓, Gallaway P. ↑,
- 82', Sanchez A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rhode Island
64.9% | Draw
20.8% | Monterey Bay
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rhode Island's performance.Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monterey Bay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rhode Island that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monterey Bay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rhode Island - Monterey Bay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.75) |
4.47 ↑
(3.6) |
6.48 ↑
(4.32) |
7.7%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rhode Island - Monterey Bay?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rhode Island (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Rhode Island will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Rhode Island may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Rhode Island is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rhode Island won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Rhode Island won against Monterey Bay?
Rhode Island has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Rhode Island?
Monterey Bay has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rhode Island - Monterey Bay were as follows:
24.03.2024
Monterey Bay
-
Rhode Island
2:2
Latest results of Rhode Island
Latest results of Monterey Bay
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
| 3 | Loudoun | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 27 |
| 4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 18 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
| 12 | Hartford Athletic | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 29 |
| 2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22:17 | 5 | 25 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 23 |
| 6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
| 7 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
| 8 | Orange County SC | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | Lexington | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 19 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
| 12 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
