Rhode Island vs Monterey Bay – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Centreville Bank Stadium (Pawtucket, RI).

USL Championship
Referee: Griggs J. (Usa)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, NESN
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.03	0.67
Ball Possession
61%	39%
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
1	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
85% (474/556)	80% (290/361)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03	0.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.64	1.02
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
1	4
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
11	2
Shots outside the Box
1	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
33	8
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	4
Free Kicks
14	15
Passes
85% (474/556)	80% (290/361)
Long passes
62% (28/45)	38% (20/52)
Passes in final third
73% (146/200)	48% (25/52)
Crosses
20% (5/25)	20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.08	0.90
Throw-ins
20	20
Fouls
15	14
Tackles
83% (10/12)	89% (17/19)
Duels won
45	41
Clearances
14	41
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	0
xGOT faced
1.02	0.64
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Malango M. ⚽, Fehr M. (A),
25', Ivanovic L. 🟨,
35', Bryant E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Stoneman G. ↓, Mabika A. ↑,
59', Fuson N. ↓, Brito J. ↑,
59', Shapiro-Thompson A. ↓, Holstad C. ↑,
60', Bryant E. ↓, Dixon A. ↑,
60', Paul I. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
73', Malango M. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Brito J. ⚽,
78', Hope-Gund R. ↓, Okiyoshi T. ↑,
80', Fehr M. ↓, Gallaway P. ↑,
82', Sanchez A. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Rhode Island
64.9%

Draw
20.8%

Monterey Bay
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

25.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25.2%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rhode Island's performance.

Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monterey Bay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rhode Island that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monterey Bay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rhode Island - Monterey Bay Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.75)	4.47 ↑ (3.6)	6.48 ↑ (4.32)	7.7% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Rhode Island - Monterey Bay?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rhode Island (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Rhode Island will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Rhode Island may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Rhode Island is the clear favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rhode Island won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Rhode Island won against Monterey Bay?

Rhode Island has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Rhode Island?

Monterey Bay has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rhode Island - Monterey Bay were as follows:

24.03.2024 Monterey Bay - Rhode Island 2:2

Latest results of Rhode Island

07.05.2025 Rhode Island - New England Revolution 1:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Rhode Island - San Antonio 0:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Westchester SC - Rhode Island 1:4 ✺

19.04.2025 Detroit City - Rhode Island 2:0 ✺

15.04.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine - Rhode Island 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Monterey Bay

04.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Miami 1:1 ✺

23.04.2025 New Mexico United - Monterey Bay 1:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Lexington - Monterey Bay 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Monterey Bay - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 2:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Detroit City - Monterey Bay 0:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	27	20	6	1	54:19	35	66
2	Charleston ✔	26	17	4	5	54:29	25	55
3	North Carolina	27	12	5	10	39:37	2	41
4	Loudoun	27	11	6	10	43:45	-2	39
5	Hartford Athletic	26	11	5	10	40:29	11	38
6	Pittsburgh	27	10	7	10	27:27	0	37
7	Detroit	27	9	8	10	31:32	-1	35
8	Indy Eleven	27	9	5	13	40:47	-7	32
9	Rhode Island	26	8	7	11	20:26	-6	31
10	Tampa Bay	27	8	6	13	39:42	-3	30
11	Birmingham	28	5	12	11	33:45	-12	27
12	Miami FC	27	6	6	15	25:41	-16	24

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa ✔	27	14	8	5	44:29	15	50
2	Sacramento Republic	26	12	8	6	39:21	18	44
3	New Mexico	27	13	4	10	37:34	3	43
4	San Antonio	26	10	7	9	34:32	2	37
5	El Paso	27	9	10	8	42:38	4	37
6	Lexington	27	9	8	10	28:35	-7	35
7	Colorado Springs	27	9	7	11	34:39	-5	34
8	Phoenix Rising	27	7	12	8	45:48	-3	33
9	Orange County SC	26	8	7	11	38:41	-3	31
10	Monterey Bay	28	7	7	14	26:41	-15	28
11	Oakland Roots	26	7	6	13	33:44	-11	27
12	Las Vegas Lights	26	6	7	13	19:43	-24	25

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )