Result
3:2
17/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Molina Astorga M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.54 | 1.03 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
91% (437/482) | 85% (308/363) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.54 | 1.03 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.90 | 1.17 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
28 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
91% (437/482) | 85% (308/363) |
Long passes |
---|
72% (47/65) | 58% (19/33) |
Passes in final third |
---|
80% (103/128) | 69% (60/87) |
Crosses |
---|
35% (6/17) | 25% (4/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.94 | 0.51 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
62% (8/13) | 71% (15/21) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
18 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.17 | 1.90 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.83 | -1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Esquivel J. ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, Guzman V. ⚽, Corona J. (A),
- 26', 2 - 1, Ocampos L. ⚽,
- 45+5', 3 - 1, Ocampos L. ⚽, Reyes L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Hernandez D. ↓, Barcenas Y. ↑,
- 46', Garcia J. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 56', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 60', Dudu ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 63', Torres O. 🟨,
- 64', Ramos S. 🟨,
- 70', Torres O. ↓, Fimbres I. ↑,
- 70', Esquivel J. ↓, Moreno Villegas O. F. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 2, Moreno Villegas O. F. ⚽, Benedetti N. (A),
- 87', Ocampos L. ↓, Ambriz F. ↑,
- 87', Corona J. ↓, Arteaga G. ↑,
- 90+1', Chavez R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Canales S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monterrey 69.8% | Draw 19% | Mazatlan 11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monterrey's performance.Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monterrey that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Monterrey - Mazatlan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.35 ↓ (1.52) |
4.97 ↑ (3.98) |
8.22 ↑ (6.36) |
6.5% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Monterrey - Mazatlan?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monterrey: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Mazatlan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Monterrey has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Monterrey is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Monterrey: Andrada E.
(Elbow Injury)
Salcedo C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Barcenas Y.
(Knee Injury)
Intriago J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Meraz R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Herrera A.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.4:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Mazatlan?
Monterrey has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Monterrey?
Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Mazatlan were as follows:
25.02.2025
Mazatlan
-
Monterrey
1:0
21.09.2024
Monterrey
-
Mazatlan
0:0
10.03.2024
Monterrey
-
Mazatlan
2:1
06.01.2024
Mazatlan
-
Monterrey
1:2
14.07.2023
Mazatlan
-
Monterrey
0:3
Latest results of Monterrey
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Monterrey | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
2 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
3 | Pachuca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Club America | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
5 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Toluca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
7 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Juarez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
9 | Club Leon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
10 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
11 | Atl. San Luis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
12 | Mazatlan FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
13 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
14 | Atlas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
15 | Necaxa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
17 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
18 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )