Result
1:0
25/02/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Contreras Q. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Fox Sports, FOX Sports Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 11 | 29 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (162/236) | 85% (473/557) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 61% (42/69) | 76% (139/182) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 17% (5/29) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (14/21) | 71% (17/24) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 38 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Merolla L. 🟨,
- 33', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Duarte A. ⚽, Benedetti N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Chavez R. 🟨,
- 56', Sanchez L. 🟨,
- 56', Sierra J. 🟨,
- 58', Cortizo J. ↓, Ocampos L. ↑,
- 64', Reyes L. 🟨,
- 67', Sierra J. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
- 72', Reyes L. ↓, Arteaga G. ↑,
- 72', Corona J. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
- 77', Benedetti N. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 77', Esquivel J. ↓, Colula B. ↑,
- 84', Chavez R. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
- 85', Ambriz F. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
- 85', Duarte A. ↓, Camacho Lastra R. E. ↑,
- 86', Pizarro R. ↓, Adame G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mazatlan
22% | Draw
27.1% | Monterrey
50.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mazatlan's form might have worsened.Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monterrey's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mazatlan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monterrey, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mazatlan - Monterrey Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.29 ↑
(3.26) |
3.49 ↓
(3.56) |
1.86 ↓
(2.12) |
5.8%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Monterrey?
Users Predictions:
Monterrey will win
(21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mazatlan won 0.
- Mazatlan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Monterrey is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Mazatlan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Monterrey is a favorite.
- There will not play in Monterrey: Guzman V.
(Muscle Injury)
Salcedo C.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Mazatlan won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 5:15 (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mazatlan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Monterrey?
Mazatlan has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Mazatlan?
Monterrey has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Monterrey were as follows:
21.09.2024
Monterrey
-
Mazatlan
0:0
10.03.2024
Monterrey
-
Mazatlan
2:1
06.01.2024
Mazatlan
-
Monterrey
1:2
14.07.2023
Mazatlan
-
Monterrey
0:3
21.04.2023
Mazatlan
-
Monterrey
0:2
Latest results of Mazatlan
Latest results of Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pachuca | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | Club America | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Mazatlan FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
