Monterrey vs Mazatlan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Monterrey - Mazatlan
Result
3:2
17/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5
  • Referee: Molina Astorga M. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
mexicoMexicoVIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.541.03
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
91% (437/482)85% (308/363)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
1.541.03
xG on target (xGOT)
1.901.17
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2818
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
913
Passes
91% (437/482)85% (308/363)
Long passes
72% (47/65)58% (19/33)
Passes in final third
80% (103/128)69% (60/87)
Crosses
35% (6/17)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.51
Throw-ins
1715
Fouls
139
Tackles
62% (8/13)71% (15/21)
Duels won
4343
Clearances
1817
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.171.90
Goals prevented
-0.83-1.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Esquivel J. ,
  • 15', 1 - 1, Guzman V. , Corona J. (A),
  • 26', 2 - 1, Ocampos L. ,
  • 45+5', 3 - 1, Ocampos L. , Reyes L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Hernandez D. , Barcenas Y. ,
  • 46', Garcia J. , Diaz J. ,
  • 56', Diaz J. 🟨,
  • 60', Dudu , Lainez M. ,
  • 63', Torres O. 🟨,
  • 64', Ramos S. 🟨,
  • 70', Torres O. , Fimbres I. ,
  • 70', Esquivel J. , Moreno Villegas O. F. ,
  • 83', 3 - 2, Moreno Villegas O. F. , Benedetti N. (A),
  • 87', Ocampos L. , Ambriz F. ,
  • 87', Corona J. , Arteaga G. ,
  • 90+1', Chavez R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Canales S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Monterrey
69.8%
Draw
19%
Mazatlan
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 23.5% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 22.8% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monterrey's performance.
  • Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monterrey that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Monterrey - Mazatlan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.52)
    4.97
    (3.98)
    8.22
    (6.36)
    6.5%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Monterrey - Mazatlan?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monterrey: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Mazatlan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Monterrey has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Monterrey is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Monterrey: Andrada E. (Elbow Injury) Salcedo C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Mazatlan: Barcenas Y. (Knee Injury) Intriago J. (Hamstring Injury) Meraz R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mazatlan: Herrera A. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.4:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Mazatlan were as follows:
    25.02.2025 Mazatlan - Monterrey 1:0
    21.09.2024 Monterrey - Mazatlan 0:0
    10.03.2024 Monterrey - Mazatlan 2:1
    06.01.2024 Mazatlan - Monterrey 1:2
    14.07.2023 Mazatlan - Monterrey 0:3
    Latest results of Monterrey
    11.08.2025 Club León - Monterrey 1:3
    07.08.2025 Monterrey - Charlotte 0:2
    31.07.2025 Monterrey - Cincinnati 2:3
    26.07.2025 Monterrey - Atlas 3:1
    Latest results of Mazatlan
    09.08.2025 Mazatlan - Tijuana 2:2
    05.08.2025 Mazatlan - San Diego 0:2
    01.08.2025 Houston Dynamo - Mazatlan 0:2
    29.07.2025 Los Angeles - Mazatlan 1:2
    26.07.2025 Pachuca - Mazatlan 1:0
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey650113:7615
    2Cruz Azul642013:7614
    3Pachuca641111:5613
    4Club America53209:4511
    5Tigres UANL531115:8710
    6Toluca631213:9410
    7Club Tijuana623110:919
    8Juarez62226:7-18
    9Club Leon62135:9-47
    10Santos Laguna62049:10-16
    11Atl. San Luis62049:10-16
    12Mazatlan FC61328:9-16
    13UNAM Pumas51226:8-25
    14Atlas512210:14-45
    15Necaxa61236:10-45
    16Guadalajara Chivas51138:10-24
    17Queretaro61147:12-54
    18Puebla51044:14-103

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )