Result
3:2
17/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Molina Astorga M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (437/482) | 85% (308/363) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (437/482) | 85% (308/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (47/65) | 58% (19/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (103/128) | 69% (60/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Esquivel J. ⚽,
- 15', 1 - 1, Guzman V. ⚽, Corona J. (A),
- 26', 2 - 1, Ocampos L. ⚽,
- 45+5', 3 - 1, Ocampos L. ⚽, Reyes L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Hernandez D. ↓, Barcenas Y. ↑,
- 46', Garcia J. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 56', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 60', Dudu ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 63', Torres O. 🟨,
- 64', Ramos S. 🟨,
- 70', Torres O. ↓, Fimbres I. ↑,
- 70', Esquivel J. ↓, Moreno Villegas O. F. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 2, Moreno Villegas O. F. ⚽, Benedetti N. (A),
- 87', Ocampos L. ↓, Ambriz F. ↑,
- 87', Corona J. ↓, Arteaga G. ↑,
- 90+1', Chavez R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Canales S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monterrey
69.8% | Draw
19% | Mazatlan
11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monterrey's performance.Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monterrey that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Monterrey - Mazatlan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.52) |
4.97 ↑
(3.98) |
8.22 ↑
(6.36) |
6.5%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Monterrey - Mazatlan?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monterrey: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Mazatlan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Monterrey has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Monterrey is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Monterrey: Andrada E.
(Elbow Injury)
Salcedo C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Barcenas Y.
(Knee Injury)
Intriago J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Meraz R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Herrera A.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.4:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Mazatlan?
Monterrey has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Monterrey?
Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Mazatlan were as follows:
25.02.2025
Mazatlan
-
Monterrey
1:0
21.09.2024
Monterrey
-
Mazatlan
0:0
10.03.2024
Monterrey
-
Mazatlan
2:1
06.01.2024
Mazatlan
-
Monterrey
1:2
14.07.2023
Mazatlan
-
Monterrey
0:3
Latest results of Monterrey
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 32 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
