Toluca vs Monterrey – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
12/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 11
  • Referee: Hernandez I. F. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
47
Corner Kicks
83
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
128
Corner Kicks
83
Goalkeeper Saves
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', Lopez V. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Bosch L. ,
  • 43', Bosch L. , Soto A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Valadez N. , van de Sanden S. ,
  • 46', Vazquez S. , Fernandez L. ,
  • 56', Peraza C. , Cortez V. ,
  • 64', Garcia D. , Restrepo M. ,
  • 64', Burkenroad C. , Gielnik E. ,
  • 64', Garcia L. , Evangelista Chavez D. L. ,
  • 71', Lopez V. , Abam M. ,
  • 77', Servin F. , Perez N. ,
  • 86', Robert F. , Lopez J. ,

Chances of winning


Toluca
44.5%
Draw
25.5%
Monterrey
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 27.9% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27% 25.2%

Toluca - Monterrey Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.09
(1.99)
3.64
(3.3)
3.09
(3.54)
7.8%
(8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Toluca - Monterrey?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Toluca will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Monterrey will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1.
    • Toluca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Monterrey has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:28. (average 0.7:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Monterrey were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Toluca - Monterrey 2:2
    11.11.2024 Monterrey - Toluca 1:0
    08.11.2024 Toluca - Monterrey 1:0
    26.08.2024 Monterrey - Toluca 5:0
    18.04.2024 Monterrey - Toluca 1:0
    Latest results of Toluca
    06.09.2025 UNAM - Toluca 1:2
    31.08.2025 Toluca - Querétaro 2:0
    26.08.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 4:3
    17.08.2025 Juárez - Toluca 0:0
    Latest results of Monterrey
    07.09.2025 Tigres UANL - Monterrey 4:0
    29.08.2025 Monterrey - Juárez 1:1
    20.08.2025 NJ NY Gotham - Monterrey 2:1
    16.08.2025 Monterrey - Santos Laguna 3:1
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Tigres UANL W (1)Juarez W (8)0 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Pachuca W (2)Cruz Azul W (7)0 : 5, 2 : 1
    3Club America W (3)Monterrey W (6)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Toluca W (4)Guadalajara Chivas W (5)0 : 2, 2 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tigres UANL W (1)Cruz Azul W (7)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Club America W (3)Guadalajara Chivas W (5)2 : 0, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Tigres UANL W (1)Club America W (3)3 : 3