Monterrey vs Toluca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
09/02/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoViX Gratis, VIX+
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
81
Corner kicks
42
Yellow cards
42
Total shots
189
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
108
Corner kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Rodriguez Perez Y. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Restrepo M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Veloz A. , Garcia L. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez Perez Y. , Lopez V. ,
  • 46', Fernandez K. , Peraza C. ,
  • 50', Martinez L. 🟨,
  • 57', Robert F. , Roman M. ,
  • 57', Cazares C. 🟨,
  • 62', Blackwood D. 🟨,
  • 64', Martinez L. , Simental S. ,
  • 64', Burkenroad C. , Soto A. ,
  • 71', Restrepo M. , Servin F. ,
  • 74', Blackwood D. , Pavi M. ,
  • 74', Fernandez L. , Guatemala D. ,
  • 79', Monroy D. , Sanchez T. ,
  • 87', Soto A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Simental S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 0, Soto A. ,

Chances of winning


Monterrey
49.6%
Draw
26%
Toluca
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 25% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 23.8% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Monterrey - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.83)
    3.52
    (3.62)
    3.75
    (3.54)
    9.4%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 3.
    • Monterrey is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Toluca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toluca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Monterrey might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:10. (average 1.9:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:2. (average 2.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Toluca were as follows:
    12.09.2025 Toluca - Monterrey 0:1
    30.03.2025 Toluca - Monterrey 2:2
    11.11.2024 Monterrey - Toluca 1:0
    08.11.2024 Toluca - Monterrey 1:0
    26.08.2024 Monterrey - Toluca 5:0
    Latest results of Monterrey
    06.02.2026 Monterrey - Tijuana 2:0
    02.02.2026 Santos Laguna - Monterrey 1:5
    26.01.2026 Club León - Monterrey 1:1
    21.01.2026 Monterrey - Cruz Azul 2:1
    17.01.2026 Querétaro - Monterrey 0:1
    Latest results of Toluca
    30.01.2026 Toluca - Juárez 3:2
    26.01.2026 Querétaro - Toluca 1:4
    21.01.2026 Toluca - Tigres UANL 1:2
    17.01.2026 Puebla - Toluca 0:1
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey W13103034:43033
    2Club America W14103135:102533
    3Pachuca W1393137:63130
    4Tigres UANL W1493234:112330
    5Toluca W1391331:161528
    6Guadalajara Chivas W1283121:81327
    7Cruz Azul W1373327:151224
    8Club Tijuana W1363422:19321
    9Juarez W1263316:13321
    10Mazatlan FC W1353517:20-318
    11UNAM Pumas W1352618:22-417
    12Club Leon W1343623:23015
    13Atl. San Luis W1323812:28-169
    14Atlas W1322917:33-168
    15Puebla W1320116:38-326
    16Santos Laguna W1312108:24-165
    17Necaxa W1311116:44-384
    18Queretaro W1301128:38-301

          Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)