Result
0:1
12/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Hernandez I. F. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Lopez V. 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Bosch L. ⚽,
- 43', Bosch L. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Valadez N. ↓, van de Sanden S. ↑,
- 46', Vazquez S. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
- 56', Peraza C. ↓, Cortez V. ↑,
- 64', Garcia D. ↓, Restrepo M. ↑,
- 64', Burkenroad C. ↓, Gielnik E. ↑,
- 64', Garcia L. ↓, Evangelista Chavez D. L. ↑,
- 71', Lopez V. ↓, Abam M. ↑,
- 77', Servin F. ↓, Perez N. ↑,
- 86', Robert F. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toluca
44.5% | Draw
25.5% | Monterrey
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Toluca - Monterrey Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(1.99) |
3.64 ↑
(3.3) |
3.09 ↓
(3.54) |
7.8%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Toluca - Monterrey?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Toluca will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Monterrey will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1.
- Toluca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Monterrey has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:28. (average 0.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Monterrey?
Toluca has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Toluca?
Monterrey has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Monterrey were as follows:
30.03.2025
Toluca
-
Monterrey
2:2
11.11.2024
Monterrey
-
Toluca
1:0
08.11.2024
Toluca
-
Monterrey
1:0
26.08.2024
Monterrey
-
Toluca
5:0
18.04.2024
Monterrey
-
Toluca
1:0
Latest results of Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pachuca W ✔ | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 52:18 | 34 | 36 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL W ✔ | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 51:7 | 44 | 35 |
| 3 | Club America W ✔ | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 32 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Toluca W | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28:15 | 13 | 28 |
| 6 | Club Leon W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 29:30 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Monterrey W | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 23 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas W | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 30:24 | 6 | 22 |
| 9 | Cruz Azul W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 21 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Juarez W | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Atlas W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana W | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:22 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Queretaro W | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:42 | -29 | 10 |
| 15 | Santos Laguna W | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Necaxa W | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8:32 | -24 | 8 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5:36 | -31 | 5 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7:48 | -41 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
