Result
03/05/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Lopez A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | FOX One |
Chances of winning
Tigres UANL
60.2% | Draw
21.3% | Toluca
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Tigres UANL - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↑
(1.41) |
4.26 ↑
(3.8) |
4.92 ↑
(4.75) |
10.1%
(18.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-2. Second leg.
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Tigres is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 51:10. (average 3:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:3. (average 2.9:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Toluca?
Tigres UANL has won 9 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Tigres UANL?
Toluca has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tigres UANL - Toluca were as follows:
30.04.2026
Toluca
-
Tigres UANL
2:1
21.01.2026
Toluca
-
Tigres UANL
1:2
13.07.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Toluca
1:1
26.01.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Toluca
5:0
12.08.2024
Toluca
-
Tigres UANL
0:6
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Club America W (1) | Juarez W (8) | 3 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Pachuca W (4) | Guadalajara Chivas W (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Monterrey W (2) | Cruz Azul W (7) | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Tigres UANL W (3) | Toluca W (6) | 1 : 2 |
