Monterrey vs Toluca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
09/02/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoViX Gratis, VIX+
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
81
Corner kicks
42
Yellow cards
42
Total shots
189
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
108
Corner kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Rodriguez Perez Y. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Restrepo M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Veloz A. , Garcia L. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez Perez Y. , Lopez V. ,
  • 46', Fernandez K. , Peraza C. ,
  • 50', Martinez L. 🟨,
  • 57', Robert F. , Roman M. ,
  • 57', Cazares C. 🟨,
  • 62', Blackwood D. 🟨,
  • 64', Martinez L. , Simental S. ,
  • 64', Burkenroad C. , Soto A. ,
  • 71', Restrepo M. , Servin F. ,
  • 74', Blackwood D. , Pavi M. ,
  • 74', Fernandez L. , Guatemala D. ,
  • 79', Monroy D. , Sanchez T. ,
  • 87', Soto A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Simental S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 0, Soto A. ,

Chances of winning


Monterrey
49.6%
Draw
26%
Toluca
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 25% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 23.8% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Monterrey - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.83)
    3.52
    (3.62)
    3.75
    (3.54)
    9.4%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 3.
    • Monterrey is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Toluca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toluca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Monterrey might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:10. (average 1.9:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:2. (average 2.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Toluca were as follows:
    12.09.2025 Toluca - Monterrey 0:1
    30.03.2025 Toluca - Monterrey 2:2
    11.11.2024 Monterrey - Toluca 1:0
    08.11.2024 Toluca - Monterrey 1:0
    26.08.2024 Monterrey - Toluca 5:0
    Latest results of Monterrey
    06.02.2026 Monterrey - Tijuana 2:0
    02.02.2026 Santos Laguna - Monterrey 1:5
    26.01.2026 Club León - Monterrey 1:1
    21.01.2026 Monterrey - Cruz Azul 2:1
    17.01.2026 Querétaro - Monterrey 0:1
    Latest results of Toluca
    30.01.2026 Toluca - Juárez 3:2
    26.01.2026 Querétaro - Toluca 1:4
    21.01.2026 Toluca - Tigres UANL 1:2
    17.01.2026 Puebla - Toluca 0:1
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Club America W (1)Juarez W (8)3 : 2, 1 : 1
    2Tigres UANL W (3)Toluca W (6)1 : 2, 1 : 2
    3Monterrey W (2)Cruz Azul W (7)4 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Pachuca W (4)Guadalajara Chivas W (5)2 : 0, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Club America W (1)Toluca W (6)
    2Monterrey W (2)Pachuca W (4)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2