Nacional Montevideo vs Montevideo City Torque – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque
Result
5:2
02/08/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
104
Corner Kicks
38
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
111
Corner Kicks
38
Goalkeeper Saves
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Lopez N. ,
  • 17', Busquets E. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Busquets E. ,
  • 32', 1 - 2, Neris P. (Pen),
  • 34', 2 - 2, Lopez N. ,
  • 43', Guzman D. 🟨,
  • 44', 3 - 2, Lopez N. ,
  • 45+2', Dos Santos A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', Siles P. 🟨,
  • 60', Patino J. , Romero D. ,
  • 60', Otero R. , Arady B. ,
  • 61', 4 - 2, Ancheta E. ,
  • 62', Siles P. , Kociubinski B. ,
  • 62', Busquets E. , Pizzichillo F. ,
  • 70', Guzman D. , Costa S. ,
  • 73', 5 - 2, Gomez M. ,
  • 75', Millan J. , Calione P. ,
  • 76', Oliva C. , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 79', Kagelmacher G. 🟨,
  • 84', Dos Santos A. , Lodeiro N. ,
  • 85', Nunez W. , Arevalo K. ,
  • 87', Calione P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
66%
Draw
20.5%
Montevideo City Torque
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 20.9% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 20.3% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Montevideo's performance.
  • Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montevideo City Torque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montevideo City Torque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.57)
    4.66
    (4.45)
    7.11
    (4.73)
    5.9%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.
    • Nacional is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Montevideo City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Nacional will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:14. (average 2.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Montevideo City Torque - Nacional Montevideo 1:2
    02.02.2025 Montevideo City Torque - Nacional Montevideo 1:0
    22.11.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque 4:0
    07.12.2023 Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque 1:1
    14.05.2023 Montevideo City Torque - Nacional Montevideo 0:4
    Latest results of Montevideo City Torque
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Largo33005:149
    2Defensor Sp43013:4-19
    3Boston River42207:258
    4Liverpool M32103:127
    5Penarol32016:336
    6Racing Montevideo32013:216
    7Juventud42024:5-16
    8Nacional42118:624
    9CA Cerro31113:214
    10Danubio31112:204
    11Montevideo City31115:6-14
    12Miramar31024:403
    13Wanderers40131:4-31
    14River Plate30120:3-31
    15Plaza Colonia40131:6-51
    16Progreso30033:7-40

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