Result
5:2
02/08/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 1
- Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Viju+ Sport |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 10', 1 - 0, Lopez N. ⚽,
- 17', Busquets E. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 1, Busquets E. ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 2, Neris P. (Pen),
- 34', 2 - 2, Lopez N. ⚽,
- 43', Guzman D. 🟨,
- 44', 3 - 2, Lopez N. ⚽,
- 45+2', Dos Santos A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Siles P. 🟨,
- 60', Patino J. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
- 60', Otero R. ↓, Arady B. ↑,
- 61', 4 - 2, Ancheta E. ⚽,
- 62', Siles P. ↓, Kociubinski B. ↑,
- 62', Busquets E. ↓, Pizzichillo F. ↑,
- 70', Guzman D. ↓, Costa S. ↑,
- 73', 5 - 2, Gomez M. ⚽,
- 75', Millan J. ↓, Calione P. ↑,
- 76', Oliva C. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
- 79', Kagelmacher G. 🟨,
- 84', Dos Santos A. ↓, Lodeiro N. ↑,
- 85', Nunez W. ↓, Arevalo K. ↑,
- 87', Calione P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo
66% | Draw
20.5% | Montevideo City Torque
13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Montevideo's performance.Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montevideo City Torque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montevideo City Torque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.57) |
4.66 ↑
(4.45) |
7.11 ↑
(4.73) |
5.9%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Nacional Montevideo will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.
- Nacional is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Montevideo City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Nacional will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:14. (average 2.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Montevideo City Torque?
Nacional Montevideo has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo City Torque won against Nacional Montevideo?
Montevideo City Torque has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque were as follows:
01.06.2025
Montevideo City Torque
-
Nacional Montevideo
1:2
02.02.2025
Montevideo City Torque
-
Nacional Montevideo
1:0
22.11.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Montevideo City Torque
4:0
07.12.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Montevideo City Torque
1:1
14.05.2023
Montevideo City Torque
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:4
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Danubio | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Wanderers | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Central Esp | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Nacional | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Albion | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Progreso | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Juventud | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
