Result
2:3
28/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 4', 1 - 0, Rodriguez S. ⚽,
- 23', Viera T. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 1, Gomez M. ⚽,
- 35', 1 - 2, Gomez M. ⚽,
- 38', Montes G. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 3, Carneiro G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', 2 - 3, Rodriguez S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', Veron T. ↓, Barcia B. ↑,
- 65', Aguero E. ↓, Caceres S. ↑,
- 70', Lodeiro N. ↓, De Los Santos J. ↑,
- 71', Silvera F. ↓, Busquets E. ↑,
- 73', Caceres S. 🟨,
- 81', Montes G. ↓, Dure L. ↑,
- 81', Lecchini R. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
- 85', Gomez M. ↓, Nunez P. ↑,
- 85', Carneiro G. ↓, Rogel A. ↑,
- 90+6', Siles P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Montevideo City Torque
26.5% | Draw
29.6% | Nacional Montevideo
43.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Montevideo City Torque - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↓
(3.66) |
3.15 ↓
(3.41) |
2.13 ↑
(1.98) |
7.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Montevideo City Torque - Nacional Montevideo?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Nacional (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Nacional Montevideo will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 1.
- Montevideo City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nacional's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Montevideo City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Nacional might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 1.1:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montevideo City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo City Torque won against Nacional Montevideo?
Montevideo City Torque has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Montevideo City Torque?
Nacional Montevideo has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo City Torque - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
02.08.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Montevideo City Torque
5:2
01.06.2025
Montevideo City Torque
-
Nacional Montevideo
1:2
02.02.2025
Montevideo City Torque
-
Nacional Montevideo
1:0
22.11.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Montevideo City Torque
4:0
07.12.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Montevideo City Torque
1:1
Latest results of Montevideo City Torque
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Penarol | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Central Esp | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Albion | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Nacional | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Montevideo City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Danubio | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Liverpool M | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Boston River | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Juventud | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Progreso | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
