Montpellier HB vs THW Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Handball EHF European League Montpellier HB - THW Kiel
14/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Montpellier HB
42.4%
Draw
11.1%
THW Kiel
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 11% 45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2% 10% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montpellier HB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • THW Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier HB than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Montpellier HB - THW Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.13)
    8.5
    (8.33)
    1.98
    (2)
    8.9%
    (8.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 3.
    • Montpellier is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Kiel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Montpellier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 217:223. (average 31:31.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 106:93. (average 35.3:31).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montpellier HB - THW Kiel were as follows:
    24.05.2025 THW Kiel - Montpellier HB 31:32
    02.05.2024 THW Kiel - Montpellier HB 31:21
    24.04.2024 Montpellier HB - THW Kiel 39:30
    Latest results of Montpellier HB
    Latest results of THW Kiel
    25.09.2025 THW Kiel - GWD Minden 33:25
    21.09.2025 SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel 34:41
    18.09.2025 Hannover-Burgdorf - THW Kiel 34:40
    Draw
    Preliminary

    Final
    1PartizanKarvina30 : 26, 31 : 27
    2Hannover-BurgdorfAlkaloid29 : 28, 37 : 27
    3MorsSt. Raphael32 : 35, 32 : 45
    4GorenjeHC Kriens25 : 32, 25 : 27
    5CD Bidasoa IrunABC Braga30 : 24, 35 : 26
    6Chrobry GlogowKarlskrona35 : 37, 30 : 33
    7Minaur Baia MareStjarnan27 : 26, 26 : 26
    8SavehofMalmo38 : 36, 33 : 24
    9Dugo SeloSesvete24 : 35, 32 : 29
    10ElverumTorrelavega29 : 28, 38 : 28
    11BernRK Medjimurje42 : 27, 31 : 28
    12Skanderborg AGFMaritimo36 : 31, 38 : 25