Auxerre vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Auxerre - Montpellier
Result
1:0
30/03/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 27
  • Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 4, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV7
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.940.50
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
106
Passes
85% (395/462)80% (322/403)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.940.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.940.01
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
107
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
164
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
106
Touches in opposition box
4014
Through passes
33% (1/3)25% (1/4)
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
85% (395/462)80% (322/403)
Long passes
61% (33/54)57% (38/67)
Passes in final third
75% (116/155)65% (63/97)
Crosses
50% (10/20)30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.77
Fouls
1414
Tackles
61% (11/18)78% (7/9)
Duels won
6450
Clearances Total
4126
Interceptions
41
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.010.94
Goals prevented
0.01-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Owusu E. 🟨,
  • 35', Akpa C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bair T. ↓, Sinayoko L. ↑,
  • 46', Owusu E. ↓, Massengo H. ↑,
  • 47', Meite A. 🟨,
  • 66', Maamma O. ↓, Delort A. ↑,
  • 72', Chotard J. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
  • 72', Meite A. ↓, Mouanga Y. ↑,
  • 72', Pays N. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
  • 77', Akpa C. ↓, Aye F. ↑,
  • 77', Oppegard F. ↓, Mensah G. ↑,
  • 78', Massengo H. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 0, Aye F. ⚽, Hoever K. (A),
  • 86', Ferri J. ↓, Khazri W. ↑,
  • 87', Hoever K. ↓, Joly P. ↑,

Chances of winning


Auxerre
52.5%		Draw
25.2%		Montpellier
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 24.5% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 24.1% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
    •

    Auxerre - Montpellier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.81 ↑
    (1.77)    		 3.78 ↓
    (3.87)    		 4.28 ↓
    (4.37)    		 5.1%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español
    •
    What is the prediction for Auxerre - Montpellier?
  • Users Predictions: Auxerre will win (127 of 133 users predict this - 95.49%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 91.96% – 99.02%. The data is statistically significant.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Recent matches Auxerre is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Montpellier is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Montpellier could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Auxerre is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly L. (Knee Injury) Traore H. J. (Shoulder Injury) Zossou A. (Hip Injury)
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Dzodic S. (Injury) Gueguin A. (Ribs Injury) Issoufou Y. (Injury) Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Kouyate K. (Yellow Cards) Maksimovic N. (Thigh Injury) Omeragic B. (Knee Injury) Sainte-Luce T. (Yellow Cards) Tchato E. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.3:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Montpellier were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Montpellier - Auxerre 3:2
    29.01.2023 Auxerre - Montpellier 0:2
    Latest results of Auxerre
    14.03.2025 Nice - Auxerre 1:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Reims - Auxerre 0:2 ✺
    02.03.2025 Auxerre - Strasbourg 0:1 ✺
    22.02.2025 Auxerre - Olympique Marseille 3:0 ✺
    14.02.2025 Brest - Auxerre 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Montpellier
    08.03.2025 Lille - Montpellier 1:0 ✺
    02.03.2025 Montpellier - Rennes 0:4 ✺
    23.02.2025 Nice - Montpellier 2:0 ✺
    16.02.2025 Montpellier - Lyon 1:4 ✺
    09.02.2025 Strasbourg - Montpellier 2:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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