Result
1:0
30/03/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 27
- Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 4, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (395/462) | 80% (322/403) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 14 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 25% (1/4) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (395/462) | 80% (322/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (33/54) | 57% (38/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (116/155) | 65% (63/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.77 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 50 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 41 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Owusu E. 🟨,
- 35', Akpa C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bair T. ↓, Sinayoko L. ↑,
- 46', Owusu E. ↓, Massengo H. ↑,
- 47', Meite A. 🟨,
- 66', Maamma O. ↓, Delort A. ↑,
- 72', Chotard J. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
- 72', Meite A. ↓, Mouanga Y. ↑,
- 72', Pays N. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
- 77', Akpa C. ↓, Aye F. ↑,
- 77', Oppegard F. ↓, Mensah G. ↑,
- 78', Massengo H. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 0, Aye F. ⚽, Hoever K. (A),
- 86', Ferri J. ↓, Khazri W. ↑,
- 87', Hoever K. ↓, Joly P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Auxerre
52.5% | Draw
25.2% | Montpellier
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Auxerre - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.77) |
3.78 ↓
(3.87) |
4.28 ↓
(4.37) |
5.1%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español
What is the prediction for Auxerre - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
Auxerre will win
(127 of 133 users predict this - 95.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.96% – 99.02%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- Recent matches Auxerre is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Montpellier is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Montpellier could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Auxerre is a favorite.
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly L.
(Knee Injury)
Traore H. J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Zossou A.
(Hip Injury)
- There will not play in Montpellier: Dzodic S.
(Injury)
Gueguin A.
(Ribs Injury)
Issoufou Y.
(Injury)
Jullien C.
(Knee Injury)
Kouyate K.
(Yellow Cards)
Maksimovic N.
(Thigh Injury)
Omeragic B.
(Knee Injury)
Sainte-Luce T.
(Yellow Cards)
Tchato E.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.3:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Montpellier?
Auxerre has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Auxerre?
Montpellier has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Montpellier were as follows:
22.09.2024
Montpellier
-
Auxerre
3:2
29.01.2023
Auxerre
-
Montpellier
0:2
Latest results of Auxerre
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marseille | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:7 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | PSG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Lens | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Rennes | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Lorient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Angers | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Metz | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
