Result
1:0
08/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 25
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 4 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, DAZN 2, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | K Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | ESPN 5 Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 76% | 24% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 30 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (689/762) | 76% (177/232) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 83% (211/255) | 73% (45/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 0% (0/6) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 88% (14/16) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 9 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Alexsandro 🟨,
- 36', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bakker M. ↓, Ismaily ↑,
- 50', 1 - 0, David J. ⚽, Ismaily (A),
- 67', Meunier T. ↓, Mandi A. ↑,
- 68', David J. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
- 68', Mouanga Y. ↓, Maamma O. ↑,
- 71', Sainte-Luce T. 🟨,
- 75', Nzingoula R. ↓, Pays N. ↑,
- 76', Coulibaly T. ↓, Khazri W. ↑,
- 76', Haraldsson H. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
- 78', Kouyate K. 🟨,
- 84', Diakite B. 🟨,
- 85', Sacko F. ↓, Ndollo Bille W. ↑,
- 86', Bouaddi A. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lille
67% | Draw
20% | Montpellier
13% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Lille - Montpellier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↑
(1.41) |
4.81 ↓
(4.95) |
7.36 ↓
(7.44) |
4.7%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS En Español
What is the prediction for Lille - Montpellier?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 29 - 74.4%). Montpellier will win (votes: 2 - 5.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 60.7% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 3.
- Recent matches Lille is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Montpellier has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Lille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Lille is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Umtiti S.
(Knee Injury)
Zhegrova E.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K.
(Yellow Cards)
Gueguin A.
(Ribs Injury)
Issoufou Y.
(Injury)
Jullien C.
(Knee Injury)
Maamma O.
(Injury)
Maksimovic N.
(Thigh Injury)
Omeragic B.
(Knee Injury)
Sylla I.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Lille: Sahraoui O.
(Hip Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lille won 12 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 28:18 (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Montpellier?
Lille has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montpellier won against Lille?
Montpellier has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Montpellier were as follows:
01.12.2024
Montpellier
-
Lille
2:2
28.01.2024
Montpellier
-
Lille
0:0
03.09.2023
Lille
-
Montpellier
1:0
16.04.2023
Lille
-
Montpellier
2:1
04.09.2022
Montpellier
-
Lille
1:3
Latest results of Montpellier
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Auxerre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Metz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
