Lille vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Lille - Montpellier
Result
1:0
08/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 25
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, DAZN 2, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoK Sport 2
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 5 Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainbeIN Sports
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.29
Ball Possession
76%24%
Goal Attempts
1810
Shots on Goal
83
Shots off Goal
36
Blocked Shots
71
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
71
Shots inside the Box
92
Shots outside the Box
98
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
Free Kicks
1211
Offsides
02
Fouls
1112
Throw-ins
1715
Touches in the Opposition Box
305
Passes
90% (689/762)76% (177/232)
Passes in the final third
83% (211/255)73% (45/62)
Crosses
35% (7/20)0% (0/6)
Tackles
59% (10/17)88% (14/16)
Clearances Total
927
Interceptions
86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Alexsandro 🟨,
  • 36', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bakker M. ↓, Ismaily ↑,
  • 50', 1 - 0, David J. ⚽, Ismaily (A),
  • 67', Meunier T. ↓, Mandi A. ↑,
  • 68', David J. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
  • 68', Mouanga Y. ↓, Maamma O. ↑,
  • 71', Sainte-Luce T. 🟨,
  • 75', Nzingoula R. ↓, Pays N. ↑,
  • 76', Coulibaly T. ↓, Khazri W. ↑,
  • 76', Haraldsson H. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
  • 78', Kouyate K. 🟨,
  • 84', Diakite B. 🟨,
  • 85', Sacko F. ↓, Ndollo Bille W. ↑,
  • 86', Bouaddi A. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,

Chances of winning


Lille
67%		Draw
20%		Montpellier
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.9% 19.3% 12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 18.3% 12.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
    •

    Lille - Montpellier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.42 ↑
    (1.41)    		 4.81 ↓
    (4.95)    		 7.36 ↓
    (7.44)    		 4.7%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS En Español
    •
    What is the prediction for Lille - Montpellier?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 29 - 74.4%). Montpellier will win (votes: 2 - 5.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 60.7% – 88.1%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 3.
    • Recent matches Lille is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Montpellier has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Lille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Lille is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Lille: Santos T. (Knee Injury) Umtiti S. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K. (Yellow Cards) Gueguin A. (Ribs Injury) Issoufou Y. (Injury) Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Maamma O. (Injury) Maksimovic N. (Thigh Injury) Omeragic B. (Knee Injury) Sylla I. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Sahraoui O. (Hip Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lille won 12 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 28:18 (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Montpellier were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Montpellier - Lille 2:2
    28.01.2024 Montpellier - Lille 0:0
    03.09.2023 Lille - Montpellier 1:0
    16.04.2023 Lille - Montpellier 2:1
    04.09.2022 Montpellier - Lille 1:3
    Latest results of Lille
    04.03.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Lille 1:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Lille 4:1 ✺
    22.02.2025 Lille - Monaco 2:1 ✺
    16.02.2025 Rennes - Lille 0:2 ✺
    08.02.2025 Lille - Le Havre 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Montpellier
    02.03.2025 Montpellier - Rennes 0:4 ✺
    23.02.2025 Nice - Montpellier 2:0 ✺
    16.02.2025 Montpellier - Lyon 1:4 ✺
    09.02.2025 Strasbourg - Montpellier 2:0 ✺
    31.01.2025 Montpellier - Lens 0:2 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    © Copyright 2025 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy