Result
10/05/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Monaco
39.9% | Draw
25.6% | Lille
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Monaco - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.22) |
3.73 ↓
(3.74) |
2.76 ↓
(2.87) |
5.1%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 1.
- Recent performances by Monaco have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lille is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.5:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Lille?
Monaco has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Monaco?
Lille has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Lille were as follows:
24.08.2025
Lille
-
Monaco
1:0
22.02.2025
Lille
-
Monaco
2:1
18.10.2024
Monaco
-
Lille
0:0
24.04.2024
Monaco
-
Lille
1:0
29.10.2023
Lille
-
Monaco
2:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52:34 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56:46 | 10 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | -19 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz ✔ | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Metz is Relegated to Ligue 2
