Pittsburgh Penguins vs Montreal Canadiens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3 penalties
21/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, V Sport Live 2
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Live 2
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Live 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3126
Shots off target
1917
Shooting PCT
10.71% (6/31)17.65% (12/26)
Blocked Shots
1810
Goalkeeper Saves
1425
Saves PCT
82.35% (14/26)89.29% (25/31)
Penalties
34
PIM
68
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/4)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)66.67% (3/4)
Hits
3025
Faceoffs Won
2725
Faceoffs %
51.5248.48
Giveaways
1619
Takeaways
45
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 04:32, Dobson N. (2 min),
  • 07:31, 0 - 1, Kapanen O. (G), Slafkovsky J. (A), Demidov I. (A2)
  • 07:58, 1 - 1, Crosby S. (G), Karlsson E. (A), Rakell R. (A2)
  • 09:19, Letang K. (2 min),
  • 12:02, Engstrom A. (2 min),
  • 12:40, 2 - 1, Rakell R. (G), Rust B. (A), Crosby S. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 03:54, 2 - 2, Demidov I. (G), Slafkovsky J. (A), Kapanen O. (A2)
  • 11:51, 3 - 2, Acciari N. (G), Letang K. (A), Silovs A. (A2)
  • 14:21, Shea R. (2 min),
  • 14:21, Blais S. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 04:04, 3 - 3, Dobson N. (G), Blais S. (A), Matheson M. (A2)
  • 06:43, Novak T. (2 min),
  • 11:23, Beck O. (2 min),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 1)
  • 1, Hayes K. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Texier A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Crosby S. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Caufield C. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Rakell R. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Suzuki N. (Penalty Shot),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pittsburgh Penguins
40.4%
Draw
22.3%
Montreal Canadiens
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 21.4% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 21.3% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Pittsburgh Penguins - Montreal Canadiens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.2)
    4.29
    (4.41)
    2.54
    (2.65)
    4.9%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins - Montreal Canadiens?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Montreal will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 39.2%89.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Montreal Canadiens will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 2.
    • Pittsburgh is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Montreal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Pittsburgh: Hallander F. (Leg Injury) Jones C. (Lower-Body Injury) Lizotte B. (Upper-Body Injury) Malkin E. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Montreal: Dach K. (Broken Leg) Danault P. (Illness) Guhle K. (Lower-Body Injury) Laine P. (Abdominal strain) Newhook A. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 68:55. (average 3.4:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 3.3:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Penguins - Montreal Canadiens were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Pittsburgh Penguins 4:0
    11.12.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Montreal Canadiens 2:4
    22.09.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Pittsburgh Penguins 2:1
    12.12.2024 Montreal Canadiens - Pittsburgh Penguins 2:9
    02.11.2024 Pittsburgh Penguins - Montreal Canadiens 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)Los Angeles Kings (8)4 : 0
    2Dallas Stars (2)Minnesota Wild (3)2 : 4
    3Vegas Golden Knights (4)Utah Mammoth (6)4 : 2
    4Edmonton Oilers (5)Anaheim Ducks (7)2 : 4
    5Carolina Hurricanes (1)Ottawa Senators (6)4 : 0
    6Pittsburgh Penguins (7)Philadelphia Flyers (8)2 : 4
    7Buffalo Sabres (2)Boston Bruins (5)4 : 2
    8Tampa Bay Lightning (3)Montreal Canadiens (4)3 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Colorado Avalanche (1)Minnesota Wild (3)2 : 0
    2Vegas Golden Knights (4)Anaheim Ducks (7)1 : 0
    3Carolina Hurricanes (1)Philadelphia Flyers (8)2 : 0
    4Buffalo Sabres (2)Montreal Canadiens (4)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2