Result
29/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Lightning
47.9% | Draw
22.8% | Montreal Canadiens
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97
(1.97) |
4.13 ↓
(4.21) |
3.2 ↓
(3.34) |
6.3%
(4.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Montreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tampa Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 73:59. (average 3.7:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:34. (average 3.5:3.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Montreal Canadiens?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 12 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montreal Canadiens won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
Montreal Canadiens has won 7 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens were as follows:
26.04.2026
Montreal Canadiens
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
2:3
24.04.2026
Montreal Canadiens
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
3:2
21.04.2026
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Montreal Canadiens
3:2
19.04.2026
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Montreal Canadiens
3:4
09.04.2026
Montreal Canadiens
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
2:1
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
Latest results of Montreal Canadiens
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 2 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 2 : 2 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
