Montrose vs Kelty Hearts – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish League One Montrose - Kelty Hearts
Result
1:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 2

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
46
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, McCarvel L. , Masson C. (A),
  • 18', Waddell K. 🟨,
  • 20', Wyllie J. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Freeman K. ,
  • 39', Murray I. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Lyons B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 64', Wyllie J. 🟨,
  • 64', Masson T. 🟨,
  • 65', Brown C. , Machado M. ,
  • 72', Masson T. , Tidser M. ,
  • 77', McCarvel L. , Teasdale J. ,
  • 82', Armour C. 🟨,
  • 87', Johnston C. , Carroll L. ,
  • 89', Thomas M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Murray I. , Mercer S. ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Montrose
49.8%
Draw
27%
Kelty Hearts
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 28.7% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 27.2% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montrose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montrose's performance.
  • Kelty Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kelty Hearts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montrose that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kelty Hearts than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kelty Hearts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Montrose - Kelty Hearts Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2.25)
    3.41
    (3.2)
    3.95
    (3)
    7.9%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Montrose - Kelty Hearts?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Montrose (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montrose won 2.
    • Montrose is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kelty Hearts's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Montrose could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Montrose won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montrose won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montrose - Kelty Hearts were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Kelty Hearts - Montrose 0:0
    04.01.2025 Montrose - Kelty Hearts 0:0
    19.10.2024 Kelty Hearts - Montrose 0:2
    03.08.2024 Montrose - Kelty Hearts 1:1
    27.04.2024 Kelty Hearts - Montrose 0:2
    Latest results of Montrose
    26.07.2025 Dundee - Montrose 5:0
    23.07.2025 Montrose - Airdrieonians 1:2
    19.07.2025 Montrose - Bonnyrigg Rose 4:1
    15.07.2025 Alloa Athletic - Montrose 2:1
    Latest results of Kelty Hearts
    02.08.2025 Kelty Hearts - Inverness 0:3
    26.07.2025 Livingston - Kelty Hearts 6:0
    22.07.2025 Kelty Hearts - Kilmarnock 1:0
    19.07.2025 Kelty Hearts - East Fife 0:1
    Scottish League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Alloa33004:139
    2Queen of South42117:437
    3Stenhousemuir42114:317
    4Hamilton42027:436
    5Peterhead42027:8-16
    6East Fife42025:7-26
    7Inverness43018:264
    8Kelty Hearts31023:6-33
    9Montrose40134:9-51
    10Cove Rangers40134:9-51

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