Stenhousemuir vs Montrose – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish League One Stenhousemuir - Montrose
Result
3:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 9

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 21', Aitken M. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, McGill S. ,
  • 36', 2 - 0, Aitken M. , Simpson O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Brown C. , Loudon E. ,
  • 48', 2 - 1, Webster G. ,
  • 56', 3 - 1, O'Reilly E. , Robson F. (A),
  • 61', Freeman K. , Williamson R. ,
  • 61', Gibson L. , Stevenson G. ,
  • 66', Waddell K. 🟨,
  • 74', Sandilands C. , Clark R. ,
  • 76', Steeves A. 🟨,
  • 77', Taylor R. , Cameron Z. ,
  • 78', Clark R. 🟨,
  • 84', Webster G. , May C. ,
  • 87', Carrick D. , Whyte O. ,
  • 87', O'Reilly E. , Bilham K. ,
  • 90', McGill S. , Grant L. ,
  • 90', Meechan R. , Ewen K. ,

Chances of winning


Stenhousemuir
59%
Draw
24.4%
Montrose
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 25.7% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 25.5% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stenhousemuir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stenhousemuir's performance.
  • Montrose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montrose might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stenhousemuir that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montrose than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montrose could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Stenhousemuir - Montrose Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.1)
    4.6
    (3.58)
    7.1
    (3)
    -9.4%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir - Montrose?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stenhousemuir will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Montrose will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Montrose (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Promotion: ) and 5)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 3.
    • Stenhousemuir is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Montrose is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Stenhousemuir will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stenhousemuir won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stenhousemuir - Montrose were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Stenhousemuir - Montrose 2:3
    01.02.2025 Montrose - Stenhousemuir 0:3
    16.11.2024 Stenhousemuir - Montrose 1:0
    14.09.2024 Montrose - Stenhousemuir 3:0
    Latest results of Stenhousemuir
    Latest results of Montrose
    23.09.2025 Stirling Albion - Montrose 1:2
    20.09.2025 East Fife - Montrose 1:1
    13.09.2025 Alloa Athletic - Montrose 0:1
    06.09.2025 Montrose - Aberdeen 2 3:1
    Scottish League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hamilton952218:71117
    2Stenhousemuir952212:8417
    3Inverness970217:61116
    4Alloa95049:7215
    5East Fife942312:14-214
    6Queen of South941412:11113
    7Peterhead941415:17-213
    8Montrose932411:15-411
    9Kelty Hearts92077:17-106
    10Cove Rangers90275:16-112

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ Championship (Promotion: )
          League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two