Udinese vs Monza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Result
1:2
11/05/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 36
  • Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, Optus Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2, Sport 3
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
maldivesMaldivesICE Sports, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime+
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.661.56
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
215
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
88% (429/486)81% (276/341)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.661.56
xG on target (xGOT)
0.651.26
Total shots
215
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
90
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
275
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
821
Passes
88% (429/486)81% (276/341)
Long passes
66% (29/44)25% (16/63)
Passes in final third
71% (102/143)50% (16/32)
Crosses
28% (8/29)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.11
Throw-ins
1711
Fouls
218
Tackles
73% (8/11)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4151
Clearances
843
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
1.260.65
Goals prevented
-0.74-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Bijol J. ↓, Lovric S. ↑,
  • 46', Zarraga O. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
  • 50', Atta A. 🟨,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Caprari G. ⚽,
  • 63', Payero M. ↓, Ekkelenkamp J. ↑,
  • 65', Forson O. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
  • 65', Castrovilli G. ↓, Zeroli K. ↑,
  • 70', Davis K. ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
  • 75', Atta A. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Lucca L. ⚽, Karlstrom J. (A),
  • 78', Bianco A. ↓, Sensi S. ↑,
  • 84', Caprari G. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
  • 84', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Balde K. ⚽, Zeroli K. (A),
  • 90+1', Balde K. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Lucca L. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Pereira P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Udinese
63%		Draw
22.1%		Monza
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 22.5% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 18.3% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Udinese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
    •

    Udinese - Monza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.52 ↓
    (1.54)    		 4.31 ↑
    (4.28)    		 6.46 ↑
    (6.45)    		 4.7%
    (4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Udinese - Monza?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Monza (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Monza (1.83) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH 0 - Monza (4.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Udinese will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Udinese (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Monza (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Monza is Relegated to Serie B
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 1.
    • Udinese is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Monza has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Monza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Udinese is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Udinese: Thauvin F. (Foot Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Monza: Gagliardini R. (Injury) Ganvoula S. (Injury) Izzo A. (Thigh Injury) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Udinese: Lucca L. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monza: Caldirola L. (Thigh Injury) D'Ambrosio D. (Injury) Mota D. (Injury) Turati S. (Illness)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Udinese - Monza were as follows:
    09.12.2024 Monza - Udinese 1:2
    03.02.2024 Udinese - Monza 0:0
    29.10.2023 Monza - Udinese 1:1
    08.04.2023 Udinese - Monza 2:2
    19.10.2022 Udinese - Monza 2:3
    Latest results of Udinese
    03.05.2025 Cagliari - Udinese 1:2 ✺
    28.04.2025 Udinese - Bologna 0:0 ✺
    23.04.2025 Torino - Udinese 2:0 ✺
    11.04.2025 Udinese - Milan 0:4 ✺
    04.04.2025 Genoa - Udinese 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Monza
    04.05.2025 Monza - Atalanta 0:4 ✺
    27.04.2025 Juventus - Monza 2:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Monza - Napoli 0:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Venezia - Monza 1:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Monza - Como 1:3 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter31233571:264572
    2Napoli31205647:301765
    3AC Milan31189447:242363
    4Como311610553:223158
    5Juventus31169654:292557
    6AS Roma311731142:281454
    7Atalanta311411644:271753
    8Bologna311361240:37345
    9Lazio311111932:29344
    10Sassuolo311261338:41-342
    11Udinese311171335:42-740
    12Torino311061535:53-1836
    13Parma318111222:39-1735
    14Genoa31891436:44-833
    15Fiorentina317111336:44-832
    16Cagliari31791532:44-1230
    17Cremonese31691626:46-2027
    18Lecce31761821:43-2227
    19Verona31391922:53-3118
    20Pisa312121723:55-3218

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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