Udinese vs Monza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Result
1:2
11/05/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 36
  • Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, Optus Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelONE Sport 2, Sport 3
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
maldivesMaldivesICE Sports, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime+
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.661.56
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
215
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
88% (429/486)81% (276/341)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.661.56
xG on target (xGOT)
0.651.26
Total shots
215
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
90
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
275
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
821
Passes
88% (429/486)81% (276/341)
Long passes
66% (29/44)25% (16/63)
Passes in final third
71% (102/143)50% (16/32)
Crosses
28% (8/29)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.11
Throw-ins
1711
Fouls
218
Tackles
73% (8/11)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4151
Clearances
843
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
1.260.65
Goals prevented
-0.74-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Akpa Akpro J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Bijol J. ↓, Lovric S. ↑,
  • 46', Zarraga O. ↓, Lucca L. ↑,
  • 50', Atta A. 🟨,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Caprari G. ⚽,
  • 63', Payero M. ↓, Ekkelenkamp J. ↑,
  • 65', Forson O. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
  • 65', Castrovilli G. ↓, Zeroli K. ↑,
  • 70', Davis K. ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
  • 75', Atta A. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
  • 75', 1 - 1, Lucca L. ⚽, Karlstrom J. (A),
  • 78', Bianco A. ↓, Sensi S. ↑,
  • 84', Caprari G. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
  • 84', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Balde K. ⚽, Zeroli K. (A),
  • 90+1', Balde K. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Lucca L. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Pereira P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Udinese
63%		Draw
22.1%		Monza
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.6% 22.5% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 18.3% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Udinese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Udinese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
    •

    Udinese - Monza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.52 ↓
    (1.54)    		 4.31 ↑
    (4.28)    		 6.46 ↑
    (6.45)    		 4.7%
    (4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Udinese - Monza?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Monza will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 69.5% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Monza (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Monza (1.83) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH 0 - Monza (4.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Udinese (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Monza (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Monza is Relegated to Serie B
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 1.
    • Udinese is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Monza has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Monza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Udinese is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Udinese: Thauvin F. (Foot Injury) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Monza: Gagliardini R. (Injury) Ganvoula S. (Injury) Izzo A. (Thigh Injury) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Udinese: Lucca L. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monza: Caldirola L. (Thigh Injury) D'Ambrosio D. (Injury) Mota D. (Injury) Turati S. (Illness)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Udinese - Monza were as follows:
    09.12.2024 Monza - Udinese 1:2
    03.02.2024 Udinese - Monza 0:0
    29.10.2023 Monza - Udinese 1:1
    08.04.2023 Udinese - Monza 2:2
    19.10.2022 Udinese - Monza 2:3
    Latest results of Udinese
    03.05.2025 Cagliari - Udinese 1:2 ✺
    28.04.2025 Udinese - Bologna 0:0 ✺
    23.04.2025 Torino - Udinese 2:0 ✺
    11.04.2025 Udinese - Milan 0:4 ✺
    04.04.2025 Genoa - Udinese 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Monza
    04.05.2025 Monza - Atalanta 0:4 ✺
    27.04.2025 Juventus - Monza 2:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Monza - Napoli 0:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Venezia - Monza 1:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Monza - Como 1:3 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter26211462:214164
    2AC Milan26159241:202154
    3Napoli26155639:271250
    4AS Roma26162834:161850
    5Juventus26137643:251846
    6Como26129541:192245
    7Atalanta26129536:221445
    8Bologna261061035:32336
    9Sassuolo261051132:35-335
    10Lazio26810826:25134
    11Udinese26951228:39-1132
    12Parma26881019:31-1232
    13Cagliari26781128:35-729
    14Genoa26691132:37-527
    15Torino26761325:47-2227
    16Fiorentina26591230:39-924
    17Cremonese26591221:36-1524
    18Lecce26661417:33-1624
    19Pisa261121320:43-2315
    20Verona26291519:46-2715

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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