Result
1:1
21/03/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 32
- Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Israel | Sport 5 Max |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.94 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (214/309) | 87% (429/494) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (214/309) | 87% (429/494) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (18/54) | 44% (18/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (77/116) | 79% (106/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 0% (0/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Haps R. ⚽, Yeboah J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Haps R. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Pessina M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 71', Hernani ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
- 71', Adorante A. ↓, Lauberbach L. ↑,
- 73', Cutrone P. 🟨,
- 80', Ciurria P. ↓, Bakoune A. ↑,
- 80', Cutrone P. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
- 86', Obiang P. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
- 86', Petagna A. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
- 87', Yeboah J. ↓, Compagnon M. ↑,
- 90+1', Perez K. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monza
33.1% | Draw
29.9% | Venezia
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monza's form might have worsened.Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Monza - Venezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↑
(2.42) |
3.14 ↓
(3.23) |
2.57 ↓
(2.81) |
6.5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Monza - Venezia?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Venezia will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.8% – 86.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Venezia (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monza won 1.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Birindelli S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Venezia: Bjarkason B.
(Inactive)
Duncan A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Monza won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monza won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Venezia?
Monza has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venezia won against Monza?
Venezia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Venezia were as follows:
13.12.2025
Venezia
-
Monza
2:0
12.04.2025
Venezia
-
Monza
1:0
27.10.2024
Monza
-
Venezia
2:2
Latest results of Venezia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
