Cajamarca vs Moquegua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Cajamarca - Moquegua
Result
2:1
06/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 8

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Casquete A. ,
  • 32', Jimenez J. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Chavez N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 72', 2 - 1, Casquete A. ,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 78', Timana H. 🟨,
  • 84', Casquete A. 🟨,
  • 84', Chavez N. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Sandi M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cajamarca
48.6%
Draw
27.3%
Moquegua
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 24.5% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 26% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cajamarca's form might have worsened.
  • Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cajamarca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Cajamarca - Moquegua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.64)
    3.31
    (3.69)
    3.74
    (4.46)
    10.7%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Cajamarca is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Moquegua were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Moquegua - Cajamarca 2:0
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Latest results of Moquegua
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1FC CajamarcaBye
    2ComerciantesCesar Vallejo0 : 1
    3Union ComercioBye
    4MoqueguaADA Jaen2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1FC CajamarcaCesar Vallejo
    2Union ComercioMoquegua

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2