Unión Comercio vs Moquegua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Unión Comercio - Moquegua
Result
1:1
06/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Round 14

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
10
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', Vargas D. 🟥,
  • 24', 1 - 0, Perlaza V. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Arrieta J. , Vargas C. ,
  • 56', Velarde M. , Morales G. ,
  • 65', Vargas C. 🟨,
  • 68', Davila A. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 68', Osorio A. , Collazos J. ,
  • 77', Jimenez J. , Ramirez C. ,

Chances of winning


Unión Comercio
61.7%
Draw
23.7%
Moquegua
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 24.4% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 23.8% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Unión Comercio - Moquegua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.51)
    3.83
    (3.65)
    6.18
    (5.42)
    10.5%
    (12.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).
    • Unión Comercio is Qualified for Liga 2 (Promotion Group )
    • Moquegua is Qualified for Liga 2 (Promotion Group )
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Moquegua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Unión Comercio is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión Comercio won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Comercio - Moquegua were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Moquegua - Unión Comercio 1:0
    Latest results of Unión Comercio
    Latest results of Moquegua
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tacna Heroica10102:201
    2Moquegua10102:201
    3Cesar Vallejo10100:001
    4FC Cajamarca10100:001
    5Carlos Mannucci00000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio11002:023
    2San Marcos10100:001
    3ADA Jaen10100:001
    4Santos00000:000
    5Comerciantes10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)