Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 63', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 88', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Unión Comercio 56.1% | Draw 23.7% | Moquegua 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Unión Comercio - Moquegua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.63 ↓ (1.75) |
3.86 ↑ (3.5) |
4.52 ↑ (4.09) |
9.3% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Unión Comercio - Moquegua?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Unión Comercio (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Unión Comercio will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Comercio (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
- Unión Comercio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Moquegua is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Unión Comercio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Unión Comercio is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Unión Comercio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Unión Comercio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Unión Comercio won against Moquegua?
Unión Comercio has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moquegua won against Unión Comercio?
Moquegua has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Comercio - Moquegua were as follows:
12.10.2025
Moquegua
-
Unión Comercio
2:1
06.07.2025
Unión Comercio
-
Moquegua
1:1
18.05.2025
Moquegua
-
Unión Comercio
1:0
Latest results of Unión Comercio
Latest results of Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 2 Table
2026Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union Comercio | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | AD Cantolao | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | ADA Jaen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Llacuabamba | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Carlos Mannucci | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 6 | U. San Martin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 7 | Pirata | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 8 | Cesar Vallejo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Comerciantes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Tacna Heroica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Alianza Huanuco | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Santos | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | Minas | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | Estudiantil CNI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Binacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 8 | Ayacucho | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )