Unión Comercio vs Moquegua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 63', 1 - 0, ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Unión Comercio
56.1%
Draw
23.7%
Moquegua
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 25.9% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 26.9% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión Comercio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Comercio than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Unión Comercio - Moquegua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.75)
    3.86
    (3.5)
    4.52
    (4.09)
    9.3%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Unión Comercio - Moquegua?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Unión Comercio (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Unión Comercio (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Unión Comercio (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
    • Unión Comercio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Moquegua is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Unión Comercio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Unión Comercio is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Unión Comercio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Unión Comercio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Comercio - Moquegua were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Moquegua - Unión Comercio 2:1
    06.07.2025 Unión Comercio - Moquegua 1:1
    18.05.2025 Moquegua - Unión Comercio 1:0
    Latest results of Unión Comercio
    Latest results of Moquegua
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1MoqueguaADA Jaen2 : 1
    2Union ComercioBye
    3ComerciantesCesar Vallejo0 : 1
    4ByeFC Cajamarca

    Semi-finals
    1MoqueguaUnion Comercio1 : 1, 2 : 1
    2Cesar VallejoFC Cajamarca0 : 3, 0 : 0

    Final
    1MoqueguaFC Cajamarca0 : 2, 2 : 1