Moquegua vs Universidad César Vallejo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
16/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Promotion - Play Offs - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
peruPeruATV

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 8', Ramirez C. 🟨,
  • 20', Romero A. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 0, Collazos J. ,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Montenegro E. ,
  • 37', 2 - 1, Quispe J. ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 2, Cornejo M. ,
  • 45+3', Chavez N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', 🟨,
  • 68', 3 - 2, ,
  • 69', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Moquegua
40.3%
Draw
29.6%
Universidad César Vallejo
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 29.2% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 28.5% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Moquegua - Universidad César Vallejo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.38)
    3.1
    (3.08)
    3.05
    (2.71)
    8.9%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • Moquegua is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, César Vallejo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moquegua won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Moquegua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moquegua - Universidad César Vallejo were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Universidad César Vallejo - Moquegua 0:1
    21.09.2025 Universidad César Vallejo - Moquegua 1:1
    17.08.2025 Moquegua - Universidad César Vallejo 1:0
    Latest results of Moquegua
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1MoqueguaADA Jaen2 : 1
    2Union ComercioBye
    3ComerciantesCesar Vallejo0 : 1
    4ByeFC Cajamarca

    Semi-finals
    1MoqueguaUnion Comercio1 : 1, 2 : 1
    2Cesar VallejoFC Cajamarca0 : 3, 0 : 0

    Final
    1MoqueguaFC Cajamarca0 : 2, 2 : 1