Moquegua vs Universidad César Vallejo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 Moquegua - Universidad César Vallejo
Result
1:0
17/08/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Promotion Group - Round 5

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 11', Granda J. 🟨,
  • 11', Cornejo M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Da Rosa F. , Rojas Castilla A. S. ,
  • 46', Tenorio J. , Cavero S. ,
  • 56', Chavez N. 🟨,
  • 58', Chavez N. 🟨,
  • 60', Caballero E. 🟥,
  • 90+1', Romero A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 0, Vasquez J. ,

Chances of winning


Moquegua
41.9%
Draw
28.5%
Universidad César Vallejo
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 27.1% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 27.8% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moquegua's form might have worsened.
  • Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad César Vallejo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moquegua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad César Vallejo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Moquegua - Universidad César Vallejo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.85)
    3.21
    (3.36)
    3.1
    (3.82)
    9%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Moquegua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Moquegua is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Moquegua
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Moquegua42116:608
    2Carlos Mannucci42117:437
    3Tacna Heroica42117:707
    4Cesar Vallejo41124:404
    5FC Cajamarca40223:6-34


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio440010:1912
    2Comerciantes41124:406
    3Santos42025:6-16
    4San Marcos41122:7-55
    5ADA Jaen40222:5-32

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)