Morecambe vs Gateshead – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League Morecambe - Gateshead
Result
2:5
30/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
77
Corner Kicks
74
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
119
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
42
Corner Kicks
74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 4)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Chapman H. , Butterfield J. (A),
  • 4', 0 - 2, Adom K. , Edwards C. (A),
  • 10', 0 - 3, Pani C. , Butterfield J. (A),
  • 12', 0 - 4, Chapman H. , Grayson J. (A),
  • 24', Conte R. , Thomas G. ,
  • 34', 1 - 4, Thomas G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Panayiotou H. , Tollitt B. ,
  • 46', Butterfield J. , Home J. ,
  • 55', Richardson K. , Williams B. ,
  • 60', Sesay A. 🟨,
  • 62', Chapman H. , Hurst K. ,
  • 69', Sesay A. , Francillette L. ,
  • 72', 1 - 5, Pani C. , Ferguson D. (A),
  • 75', Grayson J. , Flint W. ,
  • 75', Adom K. , Lowery L. ,
  • 80', Nouble F. 🟨,
  • 82', Aarons R. , Edwards G. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 5, Payne L. , Nolan J. (A),

Chances of winning


Morecambe
18.7%
Draw
22.7%
Gateshead
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 24.8% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8% 24.4% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morecambe's form might have worsened.
  • Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gateshead's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+17.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morecambe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-19.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gateshead, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Morecambe - Gateshead Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.06
    (2.53)
    6.3
    (3.7)
    2.16
    (2.37)
    -25.5%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Morecambe - Gateshead?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gateshead will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Gateshead (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 15).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Gateshead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Morecambe
    27.09.2025 Truro City - Morecambe 5:0
    24.09.2025 Morecambe - Halifax Town 1:2
    20.09.2025 Morecambe - Wealdstone 4:3
    13.09.2025 Solihull Moors - Morecambe 4:4
    06.09.2025 Boreham Wood - Morecambe 3:0
    Latest results of Gateshead
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochdale12100224:71730
    2Forest Green1485121:81329
    3Carlisle1492325:151029
    4Scunthorpe1384124:111328
    5Boreham Wood1384125:131228
    6FC Halifax1473422:21124
    7York City1264224:121222
    8Southend1364320:11922
    9Tamworth1464417:18-122
    10Wealdstone1454520:18219
    11Yeovil1461717:20-319
    12Hartlepool1446413:10318
    13Eastleigh1353515:15018
    14Gateshead1452722:32-1017
    15Boston Utd1344514:17-316
    16Brackley Town1344510:13-316
    17Solihull Moors1435615:26-1114
    18Woking1434717:19-213
    19Aldershot1434727:31-413
    20Altrincham1441917:22-513
    21Braintree1433813:22-912
    22Sutton1415815:25-108
    23Truro14221013:24-118
    24Morecambe1222816:36-208

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation