Newport County vs Morecambe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Newport County - Morecambe
Result
2:1
04/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 25
  • Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.962.73
Ball Possession
39%61%
Goal Attempts
1226
Shots on Goal
58
Shots off Goal
56
Blocked Shots
212
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
511
Shots inside the Box
822
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
73
Free Kicks
148
Offsides
32
Fouls
814
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
1934
Touches in the Opposition Box
1744
Passes
61% (150/244)77% (273/354)
Passes in the final third
47% (52/111)71% (132/186)
Crosses
22% (4/18)22% (11/51)
Tackles
71% (5/7)50% (5/10)
Clearances Total
8540
Interceptions
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Thomas J. ,
  • 44', Tutonda D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Antwi C. 🟨,
  • 53', Hope H. , Edwards G. ,
  • 63', Tutonda D. , Lewis A. ,
  • 72', Baker-Richardson C. , Martin J. ,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Edwards G. , Songo'o Y. (A),
  • 82', 2 - 1, Ajiboye D. , Driscoll-Glennon A. (A),
  • 85', Kamwa B. , Hudlin K. ,
  • 88', Thomas J. , Jameson K. ,
  • 90+1', Stott J. , Tollitt B. ,
  • 90+1', Songo'o Y. , Lewis P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newport County
36.3%
Draw
28.5%
Morecambe
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 27.9% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 26.3% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Newport County - Morecambe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.37)
    3.31
    (3.35)
    2.68
    (2.86)
    6%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Newport County - Morecambe?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 11 - 35.5%). Morecambe will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 38.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.6%55.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 18 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 3.
    • Newport is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Morecambe is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Newport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Newport won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 27:27 (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Morecambe were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Morecambe - Newport County 0:1
    12.03.2024 Newport County - Morecambe 5:3
    28.11.2023 Morecambe - Newport County 1:2
    Latest results of Newport County
    Latest results of Morecambe
    01.02.2025 Morecambe - Fleetwood Town 4:2
    28.01.2025 Bradford City - Morecambe 1:0
    11.01.2025 Chelsea - Morecambe 5:0
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League