Result
2:1
04/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 25
- Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 2.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 26 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 34 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 17 | 44 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (150/244) | 77% (273/354) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 47% (52/111) | 71% (132/186) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 22% (11/51) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 50% (5/10) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 85 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Thomas J. ⚽,
- 44', Tutonda D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Antwi C. 🟨,
- 53', Hope H. ↓, Edwards G. ↑,
- 63', Tutonda D. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
- 72', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Edwards G. ⚽, Songo'o Y. (A),
- 82', 2 - 1, Ajiboye D. ⚽, Driscoll-Glennon A. (A),
- 85', Kamwa B. ↓, Hudlin K. ↑,
- 88', Thomas J. ↓, Jameson K. ↑,
- 90+1', Stott J. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
- 90+1', Songo'o Y. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newport County
36.3% | Draw
28.5% | Morecambe
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Newport County - Morecambe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.37) |
3.31 ↓
(3.35) |
2.68 ↓
(2.86) |
6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Newport County - Morecambe?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 11 - 35.5%). Morecambe will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 38.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.6% – 55.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 18 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 3.
- Newport is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Morecambe is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Newport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Newport won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 27:27 (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Morecambe?
Newport County has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Newport County?
Morecambe has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Morecambe were as follows:
31.08.2024
Morecambe
-
Newport County
0:1
12.03.2024
Newport County
-
Morecambe
5:3
28.11.2023
Morecambe
-
Newport County
1:2
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Morecambe
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 42 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 67:41 | 26 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 42 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 77:42 | 35 | 76 |
| 3 | Notts Co | 42 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 71:45 | 26 | 76 |
| 4 | Cambridge Utd | 41 | 20 | 14 | 7 | 58:31 | 27 | 74 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 42 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 73 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 63:52 | 11 | 68 |
| 8 | Crewe | 42 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 61:50 | 11 | 66 |
| 9 | Oldham | 41 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 52:35 | 17 | 65 |
| 10 | Grimsby | 40 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 59:43 | 16 | 65 |
| 11 | Barnet | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 57:47 | 10 | 64 |
| 12 | Walsall | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 52:46 | 6 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 42 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 51:53 | -2 | 55 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 16 | 4 | 22 | 46:62 | -16 | 52 |
| 16 | Accrington | 41 | 14 | 9 | 18 | 40:46 | -6 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 41 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 49 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 39:66 | -27 | 44 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 44:67 | -23 | 43 |
| 20 | Crawley | 42 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 40:62 | -22 | 37 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 41 | 9 | 9 | 23 | 48:71 | -23 | 36 |
| 22 | Newport | 42 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 41:72 | -31 | 34 |
| 23 | Barrow | 41 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 38:65 | -27 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 34:64 | -30 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
