Result
1:0
24/01/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 19
- Referee: Macedo C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 22 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (338/409) | 83% (347/420) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 71% (85/119) | 69% (60/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 7% (1/14) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 72% (13/18) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Trezza A. 🟨,
- 40', Fukui T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Fontan J. 🟨,
- 63', Asue L. ↓, Guilherme Schettine ↑,
- 63', Ofori L. ↓, Tavares S. ↑,
- 63', Santos P. ↓, Antonisse J. ↑,
- 67', Trezza A. ↓, Jason ↑,
- 67', Araujo H. ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
- 75', Madson ↓, Bernardo ↑,
- 79', 1 - 0, Jason ⚽,
- 81', Alan ↓, Rodrigues I. ↑,
- 81', Fukui T. ↓, Loum M. ↑,
- 81', Gozalbez P. ↓, Puche ↑,
- 90+1', Sylla M. ↓, Popovic B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Arouca
39.4% | Draw
30.7% | Moreirense
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Arouca - Moreirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.22) |
3.09 ↓
(3.25) |
3.17 ↓
(3.4) |
5.5%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Arouca - Moreirense?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). Moreirense will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 51.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.1% – 70.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 1.
- Recent matches Arouca is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Moreirense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Arouca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Arouca will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Arouca: Busquets O.
(Injury)
Kouassi E.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Moreirense: Frimpong G.
(Yellow Cards)
Guilherme Liberato
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Arouca: Galovic N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Moreirense: Hernani Infande
(Knee Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Arouca won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15:19 (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Arouca won against Moreirense?
Arouca has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Arouca?
Moreirense has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Moreirense were as follows:
18.08.2024
Moreirense
-
Arouca
3:1
17.03.2024
Moreirense
-
Arouca
1:0
27.10.2023
Arouca
-
Moreirense
0:1
22.12.2022
Moreirense
-
Arouca
1:2
Latest results of Moreirense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
