Arouca vs Moreirense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Arouca - Moreirense
Result
1:0
24/01/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 19
  • Referee: Macedo C. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.590.56
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
167
Shots on Goal
51
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
72
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
102
Shots inside the Box
52
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
1118
Offsides
34
Fouls
1811
Yellow Cards
30
Throw-ins
3522
Touches in the Opposition Box
197
Passes
83% (338/409)83% (347/420)
Passes in the final third
71% (85/119)69% (60/87)
Crosses
19% (5/26)7% (1/14)
Tackles
50% (12/24)72% (13/18)
Clearances Total
3034
Interceptions
911

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Trezza A. 🟨,
  • 40', Fukui T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Fontan J. 🟨,
  • 63', Asue L. , Guilherme Schettine ,
  • 63', Ofori L. , Tavares S. ,
  • 63', Santos P. , Antonisse J. ,
  • 67', Trezza A. , Jason ,
  • 67', Araujo H. , Nandin D. ,
  • 75', Madson , Bernardo ,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Jason ,
  • 81', Alan , Rodrigues I. ,
  • 81', Fukui T. , Loum M. ,
  • 81', Gozalbez P. , Puche ,
  • 90+1', Sylla M. , Popovic B. ,

Chances of winning


Arouca
39.4%
Draw
30.7%
Moreirense
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 29.2% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 28.9% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Arouca - Moreirense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.22)
    3.09
    (3.25)
    3.17
    (3.4)
    5.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Arouca - Moreirense?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). Moreirense will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 51.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.1%70.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 1.
    • Recent matches Arouca is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Moreirense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Arouca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Arouca will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Arouca: Busquets O. (Injury) Kouassi E. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Moreirense: Frimpong G. (Yellow Cards) Guilherme Liberato (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arouca: Galovic N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Moreirense: Hernani Infande (Knee Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Arouca won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15:19 (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Moreirense were as follows:
    18.08.2024 Moreirense - Arouca 3:1
    17.03.2024 Moreirense - Arouca 1:0
    27.10.2023 Arouca - Moreirense 0:1
    22.12.2022 Moreirense - Arouca 1:2
    Latest results of Arouca
    04.01.2025 Boavista - Arouca 1:3
    27.12.2024 Arouca - Gil Vicente 1:1
    20.12.2024 Casa Pia - Arouca 3:1
    15.12.2024 Arouca - Santa Clara 1:0
    Latest results of Moreirense
    19.01.2025 Moreirense - Farense 0:0
    12.01.2025 Gil Vicente - Moreirense 1:0
    04.01.2025 Moreirense - AVS 1:1
    28.12.2024 Estoril Praia - Moreirense 2:2
    21.12.2024 Moreirense - Porto 0:3
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

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