Result
3:1
02/05/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 32
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sport TV Africa |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tabii, TRT Spor |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (557/629) | 80% (211/265) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 2 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (557/629) | 80% (211/265) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (18/28) | 33% (10/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (144/189) | 74% (17/23) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | -1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Yan Maranhao ⚽, Alanzinho (A),
- 33', Pepê 🟨,
- 36', Pinto D. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Moura F. ⚽, Vieira F. (A),
- 42', Eustaquio S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 64', Pepê ↓, Borges G. ↑,
- 64', Perez N. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
- 65', Tavares S. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
- 65', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Antonisse J. ↑,
- 65', Yan Maranhao ↓, Guilherme Schettine ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Samu (Pen),
- 70', Maracas 🟨,
- 77', Eustaquio S. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
- 77', Rodrigues I. ↓, Assis A. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 1, Samu ⚽, Mora R. (A),
- 85', Alanzinho ↓, Asue L. ↑,
- 86', Vieira F. ↓, Franco A. ↑,
- 86', Samu ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
- 90+1', Danny Namaso 🟨,
Chances of winning
Porto
72% | Draw
17.9% | Moreirense
10.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Porto - Moreirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.35) |
5.3 ↑
(4.61) |
9.51 ↑
(9.08) |
5.5%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Porto - Moreirense?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Moreirense will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 75.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Porto is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Costa D.
(Buttock Injury)
Grujic M.
(Heel Injury)
Sousa V.
(Calf Injury)
Varela A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Moreirense: Bernardo
(Yellow Cards)
Guilherme Liberato
(Knee Injury)
Hernani Infande
(Knee Injury)
Ofori L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 50:16. (average 2.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:4. (average 3.8:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Moreirense?
Porto has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Porto?
Moreirense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Moreirense were as follows:
21.12.2024
Moreirense
-
Porto
0:3
24.11.2024
Moreirense
-
Porto
2:1
31.10.2024
Porto
-
Moreirense
2:0
20.01.2024
Porto
-
Moreirense
5:0
14.08.2023
Moreirense
-
Porto
1:2
Latest results of Moreirense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
