Porto vs Moreirense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Football Liga Portugal Porto - Moreirense
Result
3:1
02/05/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 32
  • Referee: Correia G. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSport TV Africa
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyDAZN Italia
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
russiaRussiaTV Start
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.870.34
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
89% (557/629)80% (211/265)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.870.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.951.75
Total shots
155
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
30
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
352
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
89% (557/629)80% (211/265)
Long passes
64% (18/28)33% (10/30)
Passes in final third
76% (144/189)74% (17/23)
Crosses
19% (5/26)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.15
Throw-ins
2014
Fouls
1412
Tackles
38% (5/13)55% (6/11)
Duels won
3934
Clearances
635
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.751.95
Goals prevented
0.75-1.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', Rodrigues I. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Yan Maranhao ⚽, Alanzinho (A),
  • 33', Pepê 🟨,
  • 36', Pinto D. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Moura F. ⚽, Vieira F. (A),
  • 42', Eustaquio S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 64', Pepê ↓, Borges G. ↑,
  • 64', Perez N. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
  • 65', Tavares S. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
  • 65', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Antonisse J. ↑,
  • 65', Yan Maranhao ↓, Guilherme Schettine ↑,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Samu (Pen),
  • 70', Maracas 🟨,
  • 77', Eustaquio S. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
  • 77', Rodrigues I. ↓, Assis A. ↑,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Samu ⚽, Mora R. (A),
  • 85', Alanzinho ↓, Asue L. ↑,
  • 86', Vieira F. ↓, Franco A. ↑,
  • 86', Samu ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
  • 90+1', Danny Namaso 🟨,

Chances of winning


Porto
72%		Draw
17.9%		Moreirense
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 20.4% 10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3% 19.3% 9.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
    •

    Porto - Moreirense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.31 ↓
    (1.35)    		 5.3 ↑
    (4.61)    		 9.51 ↑
    (9.08)    		 5.5%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Porto - Moreirense?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Moreirense will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 75.7% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Porto is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Porto: Costa D. (Buttock Injury) Grujic M. (Heel Injury) Sousa V. (Calf Injury) Varela A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Moreirense: Bernardo (Yellow Cards) Guilherme Liberato (Knee Injury) Hernani Infande (Knee Injury) Ofori L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 50:16. (average 2.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:4. (average 3.8:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Moreirense were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Moreirense - Porto 0:3
    24.11.2024 Moreirense - Porto 2:1
    31.10.2024 Porto - Moreirense 2:0
    20.01.2024 Porto - Moreirense 5:0
    14.08.2023 Moreirense - Porto 1:2
    Latest results of Porto
    26.04.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Porto 2:0 ✺
    18.04.2025 Porto - Famalicão 2:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Casa Pia - Porto 0:1 ✺
    06.04.2025 Porto - Benfica 1:4 ✺
    30.03.2025 Estoril Praia - Porto 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Moreirense
    27.04.2025 Moreirense - Nacional 1:1 ✺
    18.04.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Moreirense 3:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Moreirense - Rio Ave 0:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Gil Vicente - Moreirense 0:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães 2:2 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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