Result
1:2
27/10/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 9
- Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Denmark | Bold+ |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Portugal | TVI |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (228/299) | 87% (418/483) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 3.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (228/299) | 87% (418/483) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (16/54) | 46% (18/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (35/62) | 67% (99/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.54 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.54 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Alanzinho ⚽,
- 43', Alanzinho 🟨,
- 45', Maracas 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 1, Samu (Pen),
- 45+6', Sainz B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sainz B. ↓, William Gomes ↑,
- 59', Veiga G. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
- 64', Yan Maranhao ↓, Guilherme Schettine ↑,
- 70', Ferreira A. 🟨,
- 74', Kiko ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
- 75', Pepê ↓, Gul D. ↑,
- 75', Moura F. ↓, Prpic D. ↑,
- 83', Alanzinho ↓, Batista G. ↑,
- 83', Teguia C. ↓, Rodri ↑,
- 84', Samu ↓, Karamoh Y. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, Gul D. ⚽, Kiwior J. (A),
Chances of winning
Moreirense
9.2% | Draw
17% | Porto
73.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Moreirense - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.42 ↑
(9.07) |
5.51 ↑
(5.04) |
1.29 ↓
(1.31) |
5.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Moreirense - Porto?
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 5 - 10.4%). Porto will win (votes: 39 - 81.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 70.3% – 92.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Moreirense (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Porto (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +2 - Moreirense (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Porto (votes: 11 - 84.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 1.
- Moreirense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Porto is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Moreirense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Porto is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Moreirense: Ofori L.
(Ankle Injury)
Sousa V.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Porto: Perez N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Perez T.
(Inactive)
de Jong L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:53. (average 0.8:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Porto?
Moreirense has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Moreirense?
Porto has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Porto were as follows:
02.05.2025
Porto
-
Moreirense
3:1
21.12.2024
Moreirense
-
Porto
0:3
24.11.2024
Moreirense
-
Porto
2:1
31.10.2024
Porto
-
Moreirense
2:0
20.01.2024
Porto
-
Moreirense
5:0
Latest results of Moreirense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
