Moreton City Excelsior vs Queensland Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
13/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Queensland - Play Offs - Final

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
48
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
74
Total shots
48
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
74
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Duckworth J. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Scott J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 72', 1 - 2, Skinner J. ,

Chances of winning


Moreton City Excelsior
31.9%
Draw
25.9%
Queensland Lions
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 24.9% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 25% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moreton City Excelsior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moreton City Excelsior's form might have worsened.
  • Queensland Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Queensland Lions's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreton City Excelsior than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moreton City Excelsior, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queensland Lions than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Queensland Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Moreton City Excelsior - Queensland Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (2.33)
    3.69
    (3.61)
    2.27
    (2.46)
    4.6%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreton City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Moreton City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moreton City Excelsior - Queensland Lions were as follows:
    13.07.2025 Queensland Lions - Moreton City Excelsior 0:0
    05.04.2025 Moreton City Excelsior - Queensland Lions 3:1
    07.09.2024 Moreton City Excelsior - Queensland Lions 0:1
    13.07.2024 Queensland Lions - Moreton City Excelsior 1:2
    14.04.2024 Moreton City Excelsior - Queensland Lions 2:4
    Latest results of Queensland Lions
    Australian NPL Queensland Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wynnum Wolves22006:156
    2Peninsula22004:046
    3Brisbane City22005:236
    4Moreton City Excelsior21015:323
    5Eastern Suburbs21013:303
    6Gold Coast Utd21015:6-13
    7Olympic FC21013:4-13
    8Magic United21013:4-13
    9Queensland Lions20113:4-11
    10Gold Coast Knights20113:6-31
    11Brisbane Roar U2320023:6-30
    12Rochedale20023:7-40

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