Os Marialvas vs Mortágua – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Os Marialvas - Mortágua
Result
0:0
02/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 17

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Os Marialvas
37.2%
Draw
30.8%
Mortágua
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 30.3% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 29.8% 25.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Os Marialvas's form might have worsened.
  • Mortágua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mortágua's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Os Marialvas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mortágua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Os Marialvas - Mortágua Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.06)
    2.96
    (2.99)
    2.85
    (3.52)
    9.7%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Os Marialvas - Mortágua were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Mortágua - Os Marialvas 1:1
    Latest results of Os Marialvas
    19.01.2025 Os Marialvas - Elvas 2:3
    12.01.2025 Fatima - Os Marialvas 4:0
    15.12.2024 Os Marialvas - Alverca B 1:1
    Latest results of Mortágua
    26.01.2025 Mortágua - Pombal 1:3
    05.01.2025 Fatima - Mortágua 0:0
    21.12.2024 Elvas - Mortágua 1:0
    15.12.2024 Mortágua - Pero Pinheiro 1:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Naval 189311005:143
    2Uniao Da Serra11002:023
    3Vitoria Sernache11002:113
    4Marinhense11001:013
    5SB Castelo Branco10101:101
    6Mortagua10101:101
    7SC Lusitania00000:000
    8Oliveira Hospital00000:000
    9Lajense00000:000
    10Samora Correia00000:000
    11Os Marialvas10011:2-10
    12Peniche10010:1-10
    13Fatima10010:2-20
    14Electrico10011:5-40

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