Mortágua vs Os Marialvas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 24

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
25
Shots on target
14
Corner kicks
35
Total shots
25
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
11
Corner kicks
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 52', 0 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Mortágua
36.7%
Draw
32.6%
Os Marialvas
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 29.3% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 30.3% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Os Marialvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mortágua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Mortágua - Os Marialvas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.19)
    2.77
    (3.1)
    2.94
    (3.1)
    10.8%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 7).
    • Mortágua is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Marialvas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Marialvas has had a series of home games.
    • Mortágua could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mortágua won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mortágua won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mortágua - Os Marialvas were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Os Marialvas - Mortágua 0:1
    21.09.2025 Mortágua - Os Marialvas 1:0
    02.02.2025 Os Marialvas - Mortágua 0:0
    15.09.2024 Mortágua - Os Marialvas 1:1
    Latest results of Mortágua
    29.03.2026 Mortágua - Marinhense 1:0
    22.03.2026 Naval - Mortágua 2:0
    15.03.2026 Mortágua - Lajense 1:1
    08.03.2026 Mortágua - Fatima 0:1
    01.03.2026 Samora Correia - Mortágua 1:0
    Latest results of Os Marialvas
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache ✔ 25167233:102355
    2Oliveira Hospital25138436:132347
    3SB Castelo Branco25144742:222046
    4Naval 189325136634:231145
    5Uniao Da Serra25128536:231344
    6Os Marialvas25106933:27636
    7Mortagua25106921:25-436
    8Fatima25781023:28-529
    9Lajense25781036:37-129
    10Peniche25761229:42-1327
    11Samora Correia25751323:33-1026
    12Marinhense ✔ 25591120:35-1524
    13Electrico ✔ 25541632:60-2819
    14SC Lusitania ✔ 25451623:43-2017

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
    Marinhense is Relegated to
    Electrico is Relegated to
    SC Lusitania is Relegated to