Result
3:4
02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 8
- Referee: Casha D. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 26', 1 - 0, Emmanuel P. ⚽,
- 29', Vassallo J. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Andre Carlos ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 2, Andre Carlos ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 3, Kante ⚽,
- 52', 2 - 3, Daniel GTA ⚽,
- 57', Hurtado Q. ↓, Chibuike C. ↑,
- 60', Okereke C. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 4, Riascos L. ⚽,
- 65', Daniel GTA ↓, Scerri J. ↑,
- 65', Agius ↓, Brincat Z. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 4, Brincat Z. ⚽,
- 71', Becerra J. 🟨,
- 72', Xuereb D. ↓, Bonilha ↑,
- 86', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mosta
32% | Draw
29.6% | Gżira United
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mosta's performance.Gżira United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gżira United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Mosta - Gżira United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↓
(3.94) |
3.44 ↓
(3.54) |
2.65 ↑
(1.8) |
-1.7%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mosta - Gżira United?
Users Predictions:
Gżira United will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 12 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 2.
- Mosta has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Gżira's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Gżira has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:45. (average 1.4:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mosta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Mosta won against Gżira United?
Mosta has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gżira United won against Mosta?
Gżira United has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mosta - Gżira United were as follows:
09.08.2025
Mosta
-
Gżira United
1:0
04.01.2025
Mosta
-
Gżira United
1:0
29.08.2024
Gżira United
-
Mosta
2:0
17.03.2024
Gżira United
-
Mosta
2:1
26.11.2023
Mosta
-
Gżira United
0:3
Latest results of Gżira United
Maltese Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Valletta | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Hamrun | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Sliema | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Hibernians | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Marsaxlokk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Birkirkara | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Gzira | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 9 |
| 9 | Zabbar | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Naxxar | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:16 | -8 | 5 |
| 12 | Mosta | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )
