Mosta vs Gżira United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Maltese Premier League Mosta - Gżira United
Result
3:4
02/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 8
  • Referee: Casha D. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
85
Corner Kicks
92
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
97
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
12
Corner Kicks
92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Emmanuel P. ,
  • 29', Vassallo J. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Andre Carlos ,
  • 41', 1 - 2, Andre Carlos ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 47', 1 - 3, Kante ,
  • 52', 2 - 3, Daniel GTA ,
  • 57', Hurtado Q. , Chibuike C. ,
  • 60', Okereke C. 🟨,
  • 61', 2 - 4, Riascos L. ,
  • 65', Daniel GTA , Scerri J. ,
  • 65', Agius , Brincat Z. ,
  • 68', 3 - 4, Brincat Z. ,
  • 71', Becerra J. 🟨,
  • 72', Xuereb D. , Bonilha ,
  • 86', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mosta
32%
Draw
29.6%
Gżira United
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.3% 25.9% 50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 20.7% 40.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mosta's performance.
  • Gżira United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gżira United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gżira United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Mosta - Gżira United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.18
    (3.94)
    3.44
    (3.54)
    2.65
    (1.8)
    -1.7%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mosta - Gżira United?
  • Users Predictions: Gżira United will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 12 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 2.
    • Mosta has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Gżira's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Gżira has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:45. (average 1.4:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mosta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mosta - Gżira United were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Mosta - Gżira United 1:0
    04.01.2025 Mosta - Gżira United 1:0
    29.08.2024 Gżira United - Mosta 2:0
    17.03.2024 Gżira United - Mosta 2:1
    26.11.2023 Mosta - Gżira United 0:3
    Latest results of Mosta
    27.09.2025 Mosta - Floriana 0:1
    24.09.2025 Valletta - Mosta 4:1
    21.09.2025 Birkirkara - Mosta 2:0
    17.09.2025 Mosta - Paola Hibernians 2:2
    13.09.2025 Hamrun Spartans - Mosta 2:0
    Latest results of Gżira United
    Maltese Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Floriana861112:6619
    2Valletta743013:5815
    3Hamrun74309:2715
    4Hibernians842216:12414
    5Birkirkara83418:4413
    6Marsaxlokk841310:8213
    7Sliema73228:9-111
    8Zabbar81348:12-46
    9Gzira81348:15-76
    10Tarxien81257:13-65
    11Naxxar71158:11-34
    12Mosta81168:18-104

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