Result
5:0
04/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 20
- Referee: Portelli D. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Vitinho ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 0, Vinicius Baiano ⚽,
- 36', Zibo S. 🟨,
- 42', 3 - 0, Joao Moura ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Brincat Z. ↓, Agius ↑,
- 46', Giancarlo ↓, Diamanka C. ↑,
- 46', Zibo S. ↓, Eikwu-Ojo S. ↑,
- 46', Farias E. ↓, Costa Goncalves G. ↑,
- 46', Vitinho ↓, Guehi S. ↑,
- 65', Agius 🟨,
- 66', 4 - 0, Costa Goncalves G. ⚽,
- 66', Udoh A. ↓, Farrugia J. ↑,
- 66', Vassallo J. ↓, Willian ↑,
- 70', Micallef M. ↓, Letherby D. ↑,
- 72', 5 - 0, Pahama N. ⚽,
- 77', Pahama N. ↓, Kontchou C. ↑,
- 77', JP Iseppe ↓, Fenech M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Naxxar Lions
44.3% | Draw
26.8% | Mosta
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Naxxar Lions - Mosta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.2) |
3.38 ↓
(3.62) |
3.14 ↑
(2.8) |
10.4%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Naxxar Lions - Mosta?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Naxxar (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Naxxar (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Naxxar (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 11 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Naxxar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Mosta has had a series of away games.
- Naxxar could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Naxxar won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Naxxar Lions won against Mosta?
Naxxar Lions has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mosta won against Naxxar Lions?
Mosta has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naxxar Lions - Mosta were as follows:
19.12.2025
Mosta
-
Naxxar Lions
2:3
29.10.2025
Mosta
-
Naxxar Lions
3:0
11.07.2025
Mosta
-
Naxxar Lions
2:1
02.02.2025
Mosta
-
Naxxar Lions
1:0
23.08.2024
Naxxar Lions
-
Mosta
2:1
Latest results of Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana ✔ | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17:5 | 12 | 21 |
| 2 | Hamrun ✔ | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 | Gzira | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Naxxar | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Valletta | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:5 | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | Sliema | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Zabbar ✔ | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Tarxien ✔ | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 5 |
| 12 | Mosta ✔ | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2:18 | -16 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Floriana is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )
Hamrun is Qualified for Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6 )
Zabbar is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
Tarxien is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
Mosta is Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out )
