Result
2:3
19/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - First stage - Play Out - Round 14
- Referee: Zammit F. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 32', 1 - 0, Giancarlo ⚽,
- 37', Giancarlo ↓, Eke C. ↑,
- 38', 1 - 1, Costa Goncalves G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', 2 - 1, Chibuike C. ⚽,
- 61', Scerri J. ↓, Emmanuel P. ↑,
- 67', Bolanos E. ↓, Firmino ↑,
- 69', Pace Cocks N. 🟨,
- 72', Vitinho ↓, Vinicius Baiano ↑,
- 81', Joao Moura 🟨,
- 82', Pace Cocks N. ↓, Bonanno G. ↑,
- 83', Chibuike C. 🟨,
- 83', Chibuike C. ↓, Daniel GTA ↑,
- 83', Brincat Z. ↓, Farrugia B. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Costa Goncalves G. ⚽,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Joao Moura ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mosta
34.9% | Draw
28.7% | Naxxar Lions
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Mosta - Naxxar Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.5) |
3.15 ↓
(3.39) |
2.49 ↓
(2.55) |
10.7%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 3.
- Mosta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Naxxar has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Naxxar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Naxxar has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mosta won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Mosta won against Naxxar Lions?
Mosta has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Naxxar Lions won against Mosta?
Naxxar Lions has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mosta - Naxxar Lions were as follows:
29.10.2025
Mosta
-
Naxxar Lions
3:0
11.07.2025
Mosta
-
Naxxar Lions
2:1
02.02.2025
Mosta
-
Naxxar Lions
1:0
23.08.2024
Naxxar Lions
-
Mosta
2:1
20.01.2024
Naxxar Lions
-
Mosta
0:0
Latest results of Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League Table
First stage - Top 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 32 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 23:10 | 13 | 28 |
| 3 | Valletta | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Sliema | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 25 |
| 5 | Marsaxlokk | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | Birkirkara | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
