Result
3:1
16/11/2025 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 11
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Lorenzo G. ⚽,
- 45+2', Priso M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 59', Arribas D. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 84', 2 - 1, Manzano C. ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Móstoles URJC
61.3% | Draw
23.1% | Parla
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Móstoles URJC's performance.Parla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parla than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Móstoles URJC - Parla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.63) |
4.05 ↑
(3.65) |
6.01 ↑
(4.8) |
6.7%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 3.
- Móstoles is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Parla's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Móstoles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Móstoles is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Móstoles will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Móstoles won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Móstoles URJC won against Parla?
Móstoles URJC has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Parla won against Móstoles URJC?
Parla has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Móstoles URJC - Parla were as follows:
21.04.2024
Parla
-
Móstoles URJC
1:2
03.12.2023
Móstoles URJC
-
Parla
2:2
Latest results of Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 59:31 | 28 | 45 |
| 2 | Las Rozas | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 39:23 | 16 | 45 |
| 3 | CD Mostoles | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 40:27 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Leganes B | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 44:17 | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | AD Torrejon | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Trival Valderas | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 29:27 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Mexico FC | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Galapagar | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 25:32 | -7 | 31 |
| 10 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 30 |
| 11 | Union Adarve | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:30 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Villaverde San Andres | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | Siello | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 24:37 | -13 | 24 |
| 14 | Alcorcon B | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 19:25 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 19:24 | -5 | 23 |
| 16 | Parla | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 22 |
| 17 | Tres Cantos | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 21:38 | -17 | 21 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 23:43 | -20 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
