Talavera de la Reina vs Móstoles URJC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Sanchez A. ,

Chances of winning


Talavera de la Reina
73.4%
Draw
16.5%
Móstoles URJC
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.3% 23.7% 12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8% 23.2% 11.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talavera de la Reina's performance.
  • Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talavera de la Reina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Talavera de la Reina - Móstoles URJC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.24
    (1.4)
    5.68
    (3.8)
    9.13
    (7.5)
    9.3%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Talavera de la Reina - Móstoles URJC?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.75 - Talavera (1.92) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Talavera (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).
    • Talavera is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
    • Móstoles is Relegated to
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Talavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Talavera is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Talavera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Móstoles URJC were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Móstoles URJC - Talavera de la Reina 2:3
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Latest results of Móstoles URJC
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Sebastian Reyes31197546:232364
    2Rayo Majadahonda31189448:232563
    3Getafe B31159751:321954
    4Conquense311412540:281254
    5CD Coria31149844:331151
    6Tenerife B311451252:49347
    7RSD Alcala311381038:37147
    8Orihuela3111101042:38443
    9Ilicitano3110111050:48241
    10Las Palmas B311081339:40-138
    11Real Madrid C321071539:44-537
    12CF Intercity319101238:43-537
    13Navalcarnero31991335:41-636
    14Fuenlabrada31891431:39-833
    15Colonia M32961737:55-1833
    16Quintanar del Rey31951731:41-1032
    17Rayo Vallecano B31931930:55-2530
    18Socuellamos31691629:51-2227

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation