Result
1:3
28/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play-in - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Tubi TV |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (348/431) | 68% (163/238) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (348/431) | 68% (163/238) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 38% (20/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (89/130) | 57% (46/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (5/36) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 40', Montero C. 🟨,
- 42', Zuniga S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 55', Macias J. ↓, Vazquez M. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 1, Alfaro B. ⚽,
- 60', Serrano J. ↓, Argueta C. ↑,
- 60', Melendez D. ↓, Cabrera M. ↑,
- 63', Batiz J. ↓, Castro G. ↑,
- 64', Santos M. 🟨,
- 64', Santos M. 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 1, Portillo J. ⚽, Vega L. (A),
- 72', Montero C. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
- 72', Alfaro B. ↓, Nunez C. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 2, Urena M. ⚽, Nunez C. (A),
- 75', Urena M. ↓, Mora J. ↑,
- 76', Zuniga S. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
- 76', Vega L. ↓, Avila A. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 3, Quiroga M. ⚽, Barahona C. (A),
- 83', John Kleber 🟨,
- 83', Castrillo D. 🟥,
- 90+3', Melendez C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motagua
48.6% | Draw
27.1% | Cartagines
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Motagua - Cartagines Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(1.97) |
3.4 ↑
(3.1) |
3.8 ↓
(4.11) |
8.5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Motagua - Cartagines?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Motagua (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Motagua will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- Motagua is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cartagines has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cartagines may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Motagua is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Motagua won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Cartagines?
Motagua has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cartagines won against Motagua?
Cartagines has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motagua - Cartagines were as follows:
21.10.2025
Cartagines
-
Motagua
1:0
14.08.2025
Motagua
-
Cartagines
0:0
Latest results of Motagua
Latest results of Cartagines
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Miguelito (4) | Xelaju (5) | 2 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Plaza Amador (1) | Real Espana (8) | 1 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Olimpia (2) | Cartagines (7) | 3 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Motagua (3) | Alajuelense (6) | 1 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Xelaju (5) | Real Espana (8) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Olimpia (2) | Alajuelense (6) | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Xelaju (5) | Alajuelense (6) | |
