Result
1:2
25/02/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Palma C. 🟨,
- 45+4', Melendez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Palma C. ↓, Discua O. ↑,
- 46', Macias J. ↓, Serrano J. ↑,
- 46', Da Silva R. L. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
- 46', Reyes A. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
- 59', Torres D. ↓, Calix C. ↑,
- 65', Melendez D. ↓, John Kleber ↑,
- 77', 1 - 0, Ledesma D. ⚽,
- 77', Villafranca J. ↓, Hurtado L. ↑,
- 77', Gutierrez Vargas Y. N. ↓, Lacayo J. ↑,
- 78', Canales M. ↓, Altamirano C. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Canales M. (Own goal),
- 86+4', Medrano Y. ↓, Fajardo A. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, De Olivera R. ⚽,
- 90+1', Gomez R. 🟨,
- 90+8', Serrano J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Juticalpa
20.3% | Draw
24.9% | Motagua
54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juticalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motagua's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juticalpa than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Juticalpa - Motagua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.5 ↑
(3.6) |
3.68 ↑
(3.57) |
1.67 ↓
(1.85) |
9.2%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Juticalpa - Motagua?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Motagua (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 0.
- Juticalpa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Motagua is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Motagua is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Juticalpa won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:52. (average 0.9:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Juticalpa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.8:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Juticalpa won against Motagua?
Juticalpa has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Juticalpa?
Motagua has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Juticalpa - Motagua were as follows:
06.12.2025
Juticalpa
-
Motagua
1:7
20.09.2025
Motagua
-
Juticalpa
0:0
13.04.2025
Motagua
-
Juticalpa
5:1
12.02.2025
Juticalpa
-
Motagua
0:3
24.11.2024
Juticalpa
-
Motagua
1:3
Latest results of Juticalpa
Latest results of Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana ✔ | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Motagua | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:12 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | Olancho | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 5 | Marathon | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 18 |
| 7 | Choloma | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 | Genesis | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14:36 | -22 | 14 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Real Espana is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
