Result
0:1
22/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Guity K. 🟨,
- 39', Benguche J. 🟨,
- 43', Mulet A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', 0 - 1, De Olivera R. ⚽,
- 60', Discua O. 🟨,
- 62', De Olivera R. 🟨,
- 65', 🟨,
- 66', Garcia R. ↓, Bengtson J. ↑,
- 74', Sanchez C. ↓, Rivas E. ↑,
- 74', Mulet A. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
- 75', Melendez D. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
- 78', Hernandez E. 🟨,
- 81', Reyes A. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
- 85', Discua O. ↓, Serrano J. ↑,
- 87', De Olivera R. ↓, John Kleber ↑,
- 87', Guity K. ↓, Bennett C. ↑,
- 87', Queiroz F. ↓, Arboleda Y. ↑,
- 88', Ortiz L. 🟨,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
47.1% | Draw
28.1% | Motagua
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.81) |
3.22 ↓
(3.41) |
3.64 ↓
(3.86) |
10.6%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Motagua will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olimpia: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 2.
- Olimpia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Motagua is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Olimpia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:20. (average 1.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Tegucigalpa won against Motagua?
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has won 14 of their last 26 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Olimpia Tegucigalpa?
Motagua has won 3 of their last 26 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua were as follows:
20.12.2025
Motagua
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
1:1
17.12.2025
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
Motagua
2:0
16.10.2025
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
Motagua
2:2
02.08.2025
Motagua
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
0:2
20.04.2025
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
Motagua
1:2
Latest results of Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Latest results of Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Motagua | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Real Espana | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 24:17 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Marathon | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Olancho | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Choloma | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Victoria | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Juticalpa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12:31 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
