Result
 
                    2:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        16/10/2025 at  21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 14
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 50% | 50% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 6 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 3 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 9 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 6 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 3 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Arboleda Y. (Pen), 
- 29', Vazquez M. 🟨, 
- 29', Queiroz F. 🟨, 
- 36', Guity K. 🟨, 
- 44', 1 - 1, John Kleber ⚽, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Gomez R. 🟨, 
- 53', Cabrera M. ↓, Macias J. ↑, 
- 60', Chirinos M. 🟨, 
- 61', Vazquez M. ↓, Serrano J. ↑, 
- 65', Guity K. ↓, Lobo E. ↑, 
- 65', Chirinos M. ↓, Moncada D. ↑, 
- 65', Arboleda Y. ↓, Bengtson J. ↑, 
- 75', Cardozo Coitinho S. 🟨, 
- 86', 1 - 2, John Kleber ⚽, 
- 87', John Kleber 🟨, 
- 88', Pinto J. ↓, Lopez K. ↑, 
- 88', Maldonado A. ↓, Mulet A. ↑, 
- 90', Gomez R. ↓, Sacaza G. ↑, 
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Moncada D. ⚽, 
- 90+8', Moncada D. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Olimpia Tegucigalpa 50.6%
 | Draw 26.6%
 | Motagua 22.8%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.82 ↓ (1.94)
 | 3.45 ↑ (3.42)
 | 4.04 ↑ (3.38)
 | 8.8% (10.5%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 2.
- Olimpia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Motagua is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Motagua may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Olimpia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:17. (average 2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 2.1:1.1).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Tegucigalpa won against Motagua?
                    
                    
                        
                            Olimpia Tegucigalpa has won 13 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Olimpia Tegucigalpa?
                    
                    
                        
                             Motagua has won 3 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua were as follows:
                                                        
                                02.08.2025 
                                Motagua 
                                - 
                                Olimpia Tegucigalpa 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.04.2025 
                                Olimpia Tegucigalpa 
                                - 
                                Motagua 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                15.02.2025 
                                Motagua 
                                - 
                                Olimpia Tegucigalpa 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.12.2024 
                                Olimpia Tegucigalpa 
                                - 
                                Motagua 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.12.2024 
                                Motagua 
                                - 
                                Olimpia Tegucigalpa 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Olimpia Tegucigalpa                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Motagua                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Olimpia | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 34 | 
| 2 | Marathon | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 19 | 30 | 
| 3 | Olancho | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28:20 | 8 | 22 | 
| 4 | Real Espana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 | 
| 5 | UPNFM | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 | 
| 6 | Platense | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 19 | 
| 7 | Motagua | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:22 | 1 | 19 | 
| 8 | Juticalpa | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 | 
| 9 | Choloma | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 11 | 
| 10 | Genesis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 10 | 
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 5 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )