Result
0:0
29/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 14
- Referee: Clancy K. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Hearts TV, Motherwell TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (507/588) | 82% (378/461) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (507/588) | 82% (378/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (16/36) | 54% (37/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (112/156) | 68% (100/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Shankland L. 🟨,
- 28', Kyziridis A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 67', Hendry C. ↓, Said I. ↑,
- 68', McEntee O. ↓, Borchgrevink C. ↑,
- 68', Spittal B. ↓, Magnusson T. ↑,
- 73', Longelo E. 🟨,
- 81', Devlin C. 🟨,
- 84', Koutroumbis J. ↓, Sparrow T. ↑,
- 84', Maswanhise T. ↓, Stamatelopoulos A. ↑,
- 84', Slattery C. ↓, Charles-Cook R. ↑,
- 85', Braga C. ↓, Kabore P. ↑,
- 85', Kyziridis A. ↓, Forrest A. ↑,
- 88', Welsh S. 🟨,
- 90', Borchgrevink C. 🟨,
- 90+4', Just E. ↓, O'Donnell S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Motherwell
27.8% | Draw
29% | Hearts
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hearts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Motherwell - Hearts Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↓
(3.6) |
3.3 ↓
(3.5) |
2.19 ↑
(1.96) |
5.2%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Motherwell - Hearts?
Users Predictions:
Hearts will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hearts will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 1.
- Motherwell is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Hearts has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Motherwell may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Hearts will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Motherwell: McGhee J.
(Thigh Injury)
Nicholson S.
(Knee Injury)
Oxborough A.
(Hand Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Stuparevic F.
(Knee Injury)
Sule E.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Hearts: Baningime B.
(Inactive)
Nieuwenhof C.
(Calf Injury)
Pollock F.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Motherwell: Halliday A.
(Inactive)
O'Donnell S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motherwell won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against Hearts?
Motherwell has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against Motherwell?
Hearts has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motherwell - Hearts were as follows:
23.08.2025
Hearts
-
Motherwell
3:3
10.05.2025
Hearts
-
Motherwell
3:0
12.04.2025
Motherwell
-
Hearts
0:0
02.01.2025
Hearts
-
Motherwell
1:0
25.08.2024
Motherwell
-
Hearts
3:1
Latest results of Motherwell
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
