Result
2:3
04/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 32
- Referee: Nicolson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Falkirk TV, Motherwell TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (436/525) | 74% (239/323) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 2.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (436/525) | 74% (239/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (42/69) | 43% (33/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (120/153) | 56% (63/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 63% (17/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Stewart B. ⚽, Miller C. (A),
- 25', Sparrow T. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 1, Watt E. ⚽,
- 42', Henderson L. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 2, Broggio B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Adams K. 🟨,
- 61', Said I. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 3, Miller C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 63', Sparrow T. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
- 71', Broggio B. ↓, Ross E. ↑,
- 71', Yeats F. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
- 73', Fadinger L. ↓, Priestman O. ↑,
- 73', O'Donnell S. ↓, McGhee J. ↑,
- 79', Longelo E. ↓, Ross L. ↑,
- 79', Stewart B. ↓, Graham B. ↑,
- 84', Miller C. ↓, Parkinson B. ↑,
- 85', Spencer B. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Maswanhise T. ⚽, Just E. (A),
Chances of winning
Motherwell
48.1% | Draw
26.9% | Falkirk
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motherwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Motherwell's form might have worsened.Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Motherwell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Motherwell - Falkirk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.73) |
3.5 ↓
(3.79) |
3.81 ↓
(4.64) |
5.6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Motherwell - Falkirk?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Motherwell will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Falkirk will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motherwell: 41.6% – 98.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Motherwell (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ))
- Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Motherwell is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Motherwell: Charles-Cook R.
(Ankle Injury)
Hendry C.
(Groin Injury)
Koutroumbis J.
(Calf Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Falkirk: Henderson L.
(Inactive)
MacIver R.
(Ankle Injury)
Marsh L.
(Thigh Injury)
Parkinson B.
(Ankle Injury)
Williams E.
(Thigh Injury)
Wilson K.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Motherwell won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Motherwell won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against Falkirk?
Motherwell has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Falkirk won against Motherwell?
Falkirk has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motherwell - Falkirk were as follows:
03.12.2025
Falkirk
-
Motherwell
0:0
18.10.2025
Motherwell
-
Falkirk
1:2
Latest results of Motherwell
Latest results of Falkirk
Scottish Premier League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58:28 | 30 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66:31 | 35 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59:35 | 24 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52:29 | 23 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34:53 | -19 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37:65 | -28 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35:66 | -31 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
