Result
1:0
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Championship Group - Round 35
- Referee: McFarlane D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Falkirk TV, Motherwell TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (346/423) | 79% (351/444) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (346/423) | 79% (351/444) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (36/77) | 52% (39/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (94/140) | 73% (121/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.93 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Broggio B. 🟨,
- 29', Spencer B. 🟨,
- 35', Sparrow T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Slattery C. 🟨,
- 56', Tait D. 🟨,
- 62', Sparrow T. ↓, Said I. ↑,
- 62', Tait D. ↓, Cartwright H. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Cartwright H. ⚽, Broggio B. (A),
- 75', Yeats F. 🟨,
- 75', Broggio B. ↓, Wilson K. ↑,
- 76', Miller C. ↓, Parkinson B. ↑,
- 76', Maswanhise T. ↓, Hendry C. ↑,
- 77', Slattery C. ↓, Charles-Cook R. ↑,
- 77', Fadinger L. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
- 84', McCann L. ↓, Donaldson C. ↑,
- 85', Lissah F. ↓, Adams K. ↑,
- 88', Longelo E. 🟨,
- 90+1', Hendry C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Just E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Falkirk
33.2% | Draw
27.5% | Motherwell
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Falkirk - Motherwell Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.85) |
3.44 ↓
(3.55) |
2.43 ↓
(2.45) |
5.3%
(4.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Falkirk - Motherwell?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Motherwell will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motherwell: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Motherwell may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Falkirk: Bain S.
(Inactive)
Henderson L.
(Inactive)
Lissah F.
(Inactive)
Marsh L.
(Thigh Injury)
Williams E.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Motherwell: Bjorgolfsson E.
(Muscle Injury)
Koutroumbis J.
(Calf Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Motherwell: Welsh S.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Falkirk won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Falkirk won against Motherwell?
Falkirk has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against Falkirk?
Motherwell has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Falkirk - Motherwell were as follows:
04.04.2026
Motherwell
-
Falkirk
2:3
03.12.2025
Falkirk
-
Motherwell
0:0
18.10.2025
Motherwell
-
Falkirk
1:2
Latest results of Falkirk
Latest results of Motherwell
Scottish Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 48:57 | -9 | 43 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 36:50 | -14 | 37 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 35:56 | -21 | 36 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 35 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 40:66 | -26 | 31 |
| 11 | St. Mirren | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 27:51 | -24 | 30 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 35 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39:68 | -29 | 20 |
Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Championship
Clinched Spots for Teams
Livingston is Relegated to Championship
