Result
3:1
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 33
- Referee: MacDermid M. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Hearts TV, Motherwell TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 2.06 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (223/314) | 78% (285/366) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 2.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (223/314) | 78% (285/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (19/64) | 42% (25/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (49/104) | 64% (57/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.81 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 2.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', McGinn P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 1, Longelo E. ⚽, Fadinger L. (A),
- 61', 1 - 1, Braga C. ⚽, Findlay S. (A),
- 66', Spittal B. ↓, Kerjota S. ↑,
- 66', Kyziridis A. ↓, Kabore P. ↑,
- 79', McEntee O. ↓, Steinwender M. ↑,
- 79', Kingsley S. ↓, Altena J. ↑,
- 82', Said I. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 1, Shankland L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 88', Sparrow T. ↓, McGhee J. ↑,
- 88', Longelo E. ↓, Hendry C. ↑,
- 89', Said I. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
- 89', Fadinger L. ↓, Priestman O. ↑,
- 90', Braga C. ↓, McCart J. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Kabore P. ⚽, Baningime B. (A),
- 90+3', Kabore P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hearts
48% | Draw
27.9% | Motherwell
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Hearts - Motherwell Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.89) |
3.39 ↑
(3.38) |
3.88 ↑
(3.85) |
5.6%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hearts - Motherwell?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Motherwell will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hearts: 35% – 88%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Hearts (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Hearts (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Hearts (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hearts will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Hearts (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
- Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 2.
- Hearts is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Motherwell's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Hearts will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Hearts: Ageu
(Thigh Injury)
Gordon C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Leonard M.
(Red Card)
Magnusson T.
(Broken cheekbone)
Milne H.
(Calf Injury)
Nieuwenhof C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Motherwell: Charles-Cook R.
(Ankle Injury)
Hendry C.
(Groin Injury)
Koutroumbis J.
(Calf Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Hearts: Findlay S.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against Motherwell?
Hearts has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against Hearts?
Motherwell has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hearts - Motherwell were as follows:
29.11.2025
Motherwell
-
Hearts
0:0
23.08.2025
Hearts
-
Motherwell
3:3
10.05.2025
Hearts
-
Motherwell
3:0
12.04.2025
Motherwell
-
Hearts
0:0
02.01.2025
Hearts
-
Motherwell
1:0
Latest results of Motherwell
Scottish Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 48:54 | -6 | 43 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 34:48 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34:56 | -22 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 27:50 | -23 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 37:66 | -29 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 37:66 | -29 | 19 |
Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Championship
