Águia de Marabá vs Moto Club de São Luís – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/06/2024 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 76', 1 - 0, Gileard ,
  • 81', 2 - 0, Gileard ,

Chances of winning


Águia de Marabá
41.6%
Draw
30.1%
Moto Club de São Luís
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31% 28.1% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9% 27.1% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Águia de Marabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Águia de Marabá's performance.
  • Moto Club de São Luís has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moto Club de São Luís might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águia de Marabá that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moto Club de São Luís than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moto Club de São Luís could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Águia de Marabá - Moto Club de São Luís Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.93)
    3.01
    (3.23)
    3.2
    (2.22)
    10.3%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Águia de Marabá - Moto Club de São Luís?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Águia de Marabá will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Águia de Marabá: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Águia de Marabá is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Moto Club is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Águia de Marabá will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Águia de Marabá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Águia de Marabá - Moto Club de São Luís were as follows:
    26.05.2024 Moto Club de São Luís - Águia de Marabá 1:1
    Latest results of Águia de Marabá
    Brazilian Serie D Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional-AM22003:036
    2Sao Raimundo RR21102:024
    3Manauara21102:024
    4Manaus21011:2-13
    5GAS20020:3-30
    6Monte Roraima20020:3-30


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Porto Velho22009:186
    2Araguaina21103:214
    3Guapore21102:114
    4Independencia21013:123
    5Galvez20021:6-50
    6Humaita20021:8-70


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama22004:046
    2Luverdense21102:114
    3Aparecidense21013:303
    4Brasiliense20201:102
    5Primavera AC20112:4-21
    6Inhumas20021:4-30


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Capital22002:026
    2Goiatuba21103:214
    3Mixto20202:202
    4Operario VG20112:3-11
    5Uniao Rondonopolis20112:3-11
    6Ceilandia20110:1-11


    Group 5
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Imperatriz21103:124
    2Trem20204:402
    3Aguia De Maraba20203:302
    4Tuna Luso20203:302
    5Tocantinopolis10102:201
    6Oratorio10011:3-20


    Group 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maracana21104:224
    2Iguatu21102:024
    3IAPE20202:202
    4Sampaio Correa20200:002
    5Moto Club20111:3-21
    6Parnahyba20111:3-21


    Group 7
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense-PI21104:134
    2Ferroviario21104:314
    3Piaui21103:214
    4Atletico-CE20201:102
    5AE Altos20110:3-31
    6Tirol20023:5-20


    Group 8
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1America RN22003:036
    2Maguary21013:123
    3ABC21014:313
    4Sousa21011:2-13
    5Central SC20111:2-11
    6Laguna RN20111:5-41


    Group 9
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lagarto21106:514
    2Sergipe21103:214
    3Treze PB21017:523
    4Serra Branca20203:302
    5Decisao20112:3-11
    6Retro20112:5-31


    Group 10
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1CSA22006:156
    2Juazeirense22005:236
    3ASA21102:114
    4Jacuipense20111:3-21
    5CSE20022:5-30
    6Alagoinhas20021:5-40


    Group 11
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ivinhema22003:126
    2Betim21102:114
    3Uberlandia21012:203
    4Operario MS20201:102
    5CRAC20110:1-11
    6Ouvidorense20020:2-20


    Group 12
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tombense22004:046
    2Democrata GV21102:114
    3Vitoria ES21013:213
    4Porto-BA21013:5-23
    5Rio Branco ES20113:4-11
    6Real Noroeste20021:4-30


    Group 13
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa RJ21105:144
    2Portuguesa21104:134
    3Agua Santa21015:323
    4Madureira21013:303
    5Pouso Alegre21012:3-13
    6America RJ20020:8-80


    Group 14
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Marica22003:126
    2Piracicaba21106:334
    3Velo Clube21013:213
    4Sampaio Correa FE21011:2-13
    5Noroeste20112:3-11
    6Nova Iguacu20021:5-40


    Group 15
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Joinville21102:024
    2Cascavel21101:014
    3Cianorte21013:213
    4Santa Catarina21011:103
    5Guarany de Bage20111:3-21
    6Sao Luiz20110:2-21


    Group 16
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Blumenau22006:246
    2Sao Joseense21101:014
    3Brasil de Pelotas21014:403
    4Marcilio Dias20200:002
    5Azuriz20111:2-11
    6EC Sao Jose20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32~finals)