Górnik Zabrze vs Motor Lublin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin
Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 7
  • Referee: Kos D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.03
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
105
Passes
90% (431/481)82% (290/355)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
0.921.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.810.35
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
115
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
2823
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
148
Passes
90% (431/481)82% (290/355)
Long passes
63% (25/40)34% (13/38)
Passes in final third
84% (174/206)70% (57/81)
Crosses
32% (11/34)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.111.58
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
914
Tackles
76% (13/17)88% (14/16)
Duels won
5338
Clearances
1428
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.350.81
Goals prevented
-0.650.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Sow O. 🟨,
  • 33', Ambros L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Sow O. , Massimo R. ,
  • 57', Van Hoeven B. , Ndiaye M. ,
  • 58', 0 - 1, Ndiaye M. ,
  • 58', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
  • 62', Ismaheel T. , Podolski L. ,
  • 62', Liseth S. , Tsirigotis T. ,
  • 62', Ambros L. , Khlan M. ,
  • 64', Stolarski P. 🟨,
  • 65', Stolarski P. , Wojcik F. ,
  • 65', Czubak K. , Dadashov R. ,
  • 72', Wojcik F. 🟨,
  • 78', Wolski B. , Scalet M. ,
  • 78', Bartos M. , Meyer P. K. ,
  • 78', Kmet M. , Lukoszek K. ,
  • 78', Khlan M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Podolski L. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Brkic I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Górnik Zabrze
57.9%
Draw
22.7%
Motor Lublin
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 25.2% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 24.7% 20.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.72)
    4.13
    (3.65)
    4.83
    (4.35)
    6.3%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin?
  • Users Predictions: Górnik Zabrze will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.62%95.92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Górnik Zabrze will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Górnik Zabrze is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Motor: Karasek K. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Zahovic L. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Motor: Najemski A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin 4:0
    13.09.2024 Motor Lublin - Górnik Zabrze 1:0
    Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gornik Zabrze1061315:8719
    2Cracovia953117:10718
    3Korona Kielce1053214:7718
    4Jagiellonia953116:12418
    5Wisla Plock952211:6517
    6Legia943212:6615
    7Lech Poznan943217:16115
    8Zaglebie934220:13713
    9Radomiak Radom1033417:18-112
    10Motor Lublin925211:14-311
    11Rakow932410:13-311
    12Widzew Lodz1031613:13010
    13Pogon Szczecin1031614:19-510
    14Termalica B-B1023513:17-49
    15Arka Gdynia102355:14-99
    16GKS Katowice1022611:21-108
    17Piast Gliwice81437:9-27
    18Lechia Gdansk1032518:25-76

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1