Górnik Zabrze vs Motor Lublin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin
Result
4:0
15/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 25
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Canal+ Sport Online, Ekstraklasa TV
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.141.17
Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
189
Shots on Goal
102
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
44
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
311
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
26
Free Kicks
108
Offsides
15
Fouls
810
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
1215
Touches in the Opposition Box
1926
Passes
84% (385/456)86% (403/468)
Passes in the final third
79% (100/126)75% (123/165)
Crosses
38% (3/8)16% (5/32)
Tackles
82% (14/17)50% (4/8)
Clearances Total
3411
Interceptions
154

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Ismaheel T. 🟨,
  • 17', Janicki R. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Podolski L. , Ismaheel T. (A),
  • 39', Bartos M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Bartos M. , Najemski A. ,
  • 46', Ismaheel T. , Sow O. ,
  • 46', Szala D. , Kmet M. ,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Kmet M. , Zahovic L. (A),
  • 53', 3 - 0, Hellebrand P. , Janza E. (A),
  • 58', Wojcik F. , Stolarski P. ,
  • 58', Caliskaner K. , Scalet M. ,
  • 64', 4 - 0, Sow O. , Zahovic L. (A),
  • 65', Sarapata D. , Prebsl F. ,
  • 70', Palacz K. , Luberecki F. ,
  • 70', Mraz S. , Simon C. ,
  • 71', Zahovic L. , Buksa A. ,
  • 79', Szczesniak K. 🟨,
  • 81', Ceglarz P. (Pen),
  • 86', Podolski L. , Liseth S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Górnik Zabrze
47.4%
Draw
26.2%
Motor Lublin
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 27.6% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 27.5% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.15)
    3.58
    (3.38)
    3.55
    (3.24)
    6.2%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin?
  • Users Predictions: Górnik Zabrze will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 8).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Motor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Górnik Zabrze will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Górnik Zabrze won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin were as follows:
    13.09.2024 Motor Lublin - Górnik Zabrze 1:0
    Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
    Latest results of Motor Lublin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock54108:2613
    2Cracovia531111:8310
    3Gornik Zabrze53027:439
    4Jagiellonia430110:919
    5Radomiak Radom622211:928
    6Termalica B-B62229:728
    7Legia42115:237
    8Widzew Lodz62138:717
    9Lech Poznan42118:9-17
    10Pogon Szczecin62139:13-47
    11Rakow42026:7-16
    12Zaglebie41219:635
    13Korona Kielce51225:6-15
    14Motor Lublin41215:7-25
    15Arka Gdynia51224:7-35
    16GKS Katowice51137:10-34
    17Piast Gliwice30120:3-31
    18Lechia Gdansk502311:17-6-3

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          Relegation ~ Division 1