Motor Lublin vs Górnik Zabrze – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/03/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Motor Lublin Arena (Lublin).

Ekstraklasa - Round 24
Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.54	0.68
Ball possession
60%	40%
Total shots
6	11
Shots on target
0	2
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
4	6
Passes
82% (385/472)	74% (227/308)
Expected goals (xG)
0.54	0.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	0.24
Total shots
6	11
Shots on target
0	2
Shots off target
5	8
Blocked shots
1	1
Shots inside the box
4	7
Shots outside the box
2	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
30	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	4
Free kicks
10	12
Passes
82% (385/472)	74% (227/308)
Long passes
37% (11/30)	37% (22/60)
Passes in final third
61% (65/107)	71% (74/104)
Crosses
29% (7/24)	25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.56	0.46
Throw ins
26	13
Fouls
12	10
Tackles
72% (13/18)	66% (19/29)
Duels won
59	70
Clearances
25	43
Interceptions
10	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	0
xGOT faced
0.24	0.00
Goals prevented
0.24	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Sacek M. ↑,
56', Zmrzly O. ↓, Khlan M. ↑,
56', Ambros L. ↓, Sadilek L. ↑,
62', Krol M. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
62', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, van Hoeven B. ↑,
73', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
73', Luberecki F. ↓, Meyer P. ↑,
73', Liseth S. ↓, Rupanov B. ↑,
81', Rodrigues I. ↓, Labojko J. ↑,
90', Kubicki J. ↓, Donio B. ↑,
90+6', Stolarski M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Motor Lublin
32%

Draw
27.6%

Górnik Zabrze
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

27.9%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

27.1%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Motor Lublin - Górnik Zabrze Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.76)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)	2.29 ↑ (2.24)	7.6% (12.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Górnik Zabrze?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motor: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Motor (2.13) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Motor (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Motor (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
In recent matches, Motor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Górnik Zabrze is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Górnik Zabrze may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Motor: Ndiaye M. (Yellow Cards) Plichta K. (Inactive) Scalet M. (Inactive)
There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Lukoszek K. (Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Motor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Motor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Górnik Zabrze?

Motor Lublin has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Motor Lublin?

Górnik Zabrze has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:

30.08.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin 0:1

15.03.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin 4:0

13.09.2024 Motor Lublin - Górnik Zabrze 1:0

Latest results of Motor Lublin

28.02.2026 Motor Lublin - Korona Kielce 2:0 ✺

20.02.2026 Piast Gliwice - Motor Lublin 1:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Motor Lublin - Lechia Gdańsk 2:3 ✺

07.02.2026 Jagiellonia Białystok - Motor Lublin 4:1 ✺

01.02.2026 Motor Lublin - Pogoń Szczecin 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Górnik Zabrze

04.03.2026 Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze 0:1 ✺

28.02.2026 GKS Katowice - Górnik Zabrze 3:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Górnik Zabrze - Pogoń Szczecin 0:1 ✺

16.02.2026 Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Zabrze 1:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Górnik Zabrze - Lech Poznań 0:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	28	12	10	6	49:40	9	46
2	Zaglebie	28	12	8	8	42:33	9	44
3	Jagiellonia	28	11	10	7	44:35	9	43
4	Gornik Zabrze	28	12	7	9	40:33	7	43
5	Wisla Plock	28	11	9	8	29:26	3	42
6	Rakow	28	11	7	10	37:35	2	40
7	GKS Katowice	28	12	4	12	39:38	1	40
8	Motor Lublin	28	9	12	7	37:40	-3	39
9	Lechia Gdansk	28	12	6	10	55:51	4	37
10	Korona Kielce	28	10	7	11	36:34	2	37
11	Cracovia	28	9	10	9	33:33	0	37
12	Piast Gliwice	27	10	5	12	34:36	-2	35
13	Legia	28	7	13	8	33:32	1	34
14	Radomiak Radom	28	8	10	10	43:42	1	34
15	Arka Gdynia	28	9	7	12	30:47	-17	34
16	Pogon Szczecin	27	10	4	13	36:42	-6	34
17	Widzew Lodz	28	9	6	13	33:35	-2	33
18	Termalica B-B	28	6	7	15	33:51	-18	25

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1