Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 7
- Referee: Kos D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (431/481) | 82% (290/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (431/481) | 82% (290/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (25/40) | 34% (13/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (174/206) | 70% (57/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (11/34) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Sow O. 🟨,
- 33', Ambros L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Sow O. ↓, Massimo R. ↑,
- 57', Van Hoeven B. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
- 58', 0 - 1, Ndiaye M. ⚽,
- 58', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
- 62', Ismaheel T. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
- 62', Liseth S. ↓, Tsirigotis T. ↑,
- 62', Ambros L. ↓, Khlan M. ↑,
- 64', Stolarski P. 🟨,
- 65', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,
- 65', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
- 72', Wojcik F. 🟨,
- 78', Wolski B. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 78', Bartos M. ↓, Meyer P. K. ↑,
- 78', Kmet M. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
- 78', Khlan M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Podolski L. 🟨,
- 90+6', Brkic I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Górnik Zabrze
57.9% | Draw
22.7% | Motor Lublin
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.72) |
4.13 ↑
(3.65) |
4.83 ↑
(4.35) |
6.3%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin?
Users Predictions:
Górnik Zabrze will win
(21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Górnik Zabrze will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Górnik Zabrze is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Motor: Karasek K.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Zahovic L.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Motor: Najemski A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Motor Lublin?
Górnik Zabrze has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Górnik Zabrze?
Motor Lublin has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Zabrze - Motor Lublin were as follows:
15.03.2025
Górnik Zabrze
-
Motor Lublin
4:0
13.09.2024
Motor Lublin
-
Górnik Zabrze
1:0
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Zaglebie | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
